Top-class four-year-old Marinaresco nearly gave Legal Eagle a fright in the 1600m Green Point Stakes at Kenilworth last month and there is a strong possibility he can beat the ruling Equus Horse Of The Year in the R1,5-million L’Ormarins Queen’s Plate over the same trip on Saturday.

Trainer Candice Bass-Robinson believes the distance is no problem for Marinaresco: “Obviously, his best trip is 2000m but he’s doing really well and has come on from his last run. He’s nice and strong so will handle the ‘mile’ well enough.”

“I don’t think much of the draw,” she said. “This horse just never gets a draw. It might not be a big field, but it would be nice for once to jump out and park off instead of coming from off the pace.”

 

“It will depend on how the race pans out but I’m expecting a big run from him,” she said before adding: “Legal Eagle is not an easy horse to beat over a ‘mile’.”

Bass-Robinson has three runners in the main supporting feature, the R1-million Maine Chance Farms Paddock Stakes. Her trio is headed up by Silver Mountain, who is favourite behind Bela-Bela.

The Silvano filly’s three-year-old career went a little pear-shaped after an impressive Sizzling Summer Season at the Cape last year and while Bass-Robinson believes “Bela-Bela is the one to beat, if Silver Mountain sees out the distance, she’ll be right there”.

Silver Mountain was making her comeback from a rest of 5½ months when staying on for fourth behind Bela-Bela in a 1400m sprint-up last month, but Bass-Robinson was happy to make excuses. “She was drawn badly and they went so slowly that she couldn’t make up the ground from the back of the field.”

Silver Mountain, winner of the Cape Fillies Guineas last season, has drawn at No 3 and jockey Grant van Niekerk can slot her in handily so she won’t have as much ground to make up.

Nightingale and Whose That Girl are her other two runners. “Nightingale is doing well and will enjoy the trip but she’s just off the top two fillies ability-wise,” she said. “Whose That Girl has improved a lot and is also very well, but it’ll be tough for her, taking on decent older fillies. If she can sneak a place we’ll be happy.”

Bass-Robinson is also hoping for a good run from Horizon in the Cartier Politician Stakes over 1800m and believes her other runner in the Grade 3 race, Olivander, “could be in the money”.

TABNews

Justin Snaith and his team have put a lot of work into their big L’Ormarins Queen’s Plate string and he is hoping for just rewards.

Snaith has gained a reputation for landing multiple winners on big race days, which included five winners at this meeting last year and a world record-breaking eight winners at last year’s J&B Met meeting.

Snaith has runners in all ten races. He commented on all of them.

First race, Workrider’s Maiden over 1200m: “These are amateur events and impossible to judge, but I am strong here. There is not much between Over Drive and Secret Idea, but Secret Idea is possibly the choice as he was disappointing last time and I expect improvement. He is the right type for a Workrider’s race as he travels well and is an easy ride. Varzen should also improve and could be in the shake up.”

Second race, Maiden Juvenile Plate for fillies over 1000m (Snaith had decided at the beginning of last season to no longer push his two-year-olds, but has made an exception this season for those two-year-olds who qualify for the R1 million two-year-old race on Sun Met day and they include his two contenders in this race): “Lacerta has shown good improvement and I expect her to go very close. Grizabell doesn’t have natural speed, but her work has been good and she could be a quartet horse.”

Third race, a MR 86 Handicap over 1600m (Snaith has the topweight Lineker, who ran a 1,5 length second to subsequent Grand Parade Cape Guineas winner William Longsword last time out on December 6): “Lineker came through and beat the rest of the field quite easily last time, so I think he will beat Union Jack again despite the weight turnaround. I am more worried about the rest of the field. It’s very competitive, but considering the form of that race he has to be in the shake up and could be the one to beat.”

Fourth race, the Gr 2 Glorious Goodwood Peninsula Handicap over 1800m: “It’s My Turn has only had one grass gallop since the July, so to finish second last time to Whisky Baron was a very good run. This is a much better trip, but the Met is his main aim. I am going under the radar with him until then, but he should run a good race. It Is Written is probably better on softer ground and we will see where we are with him, but this is maybe a bit strong. Krambambuli had a very good run last time (2^nd in the Sun International Premier Trophy over course and distance) and I expect a similar type of race. Star Chestnut will get the trip and is consistent. He could be the dark horse, but it’s very hard at this level.”

Fifth race, the Gr 3 Politician Stakes over 1800m: “Strathdon has been gelded and is a horse who I think has something to come. He has a beautiful stride and can run, he could surprise. King Of Rally has been running in PE, but is a very good looking horse and we will see where he stands.”

Sixth race, the Gr 1 Maine Chance Farms Paddock Stakes: “Bela-Bela had a very good comeback, I didn’t think I had her spot on, so I am expecting a good run here and am quietly confident. But watch out for Star Express. She is a 2000m horse and to have run so close to Bela-Bela over 1400m last time was a very big run. She can run and could even upset. Bela-Bela is the stable elect and is theoretically the better filly, but Star Express could be right there and if there are any hiccups with the grey filly she could win.”

Seventh race, the Gr 1 L’Ormarins Queen’s Plate: “Fifty Cents won a stakes race last time, although he was a bit fortunate, and it is always great to be part of this unbelievable race. The owners will enjoy the moment.”

Eight race, the Gr 3 BMW Chairman’s Cup over 3200m, “Ovidio has a very big weight, but is a good stayer and there is no alternative race. He can carry 62,5kg, these staying races are not strong. Arezzo has been a bit disappointing, but gets the distance, so could surprise with his light weight.”

Ninth race, a Conditions Plate over 1400m for fillies and mares: “Red Light Girl ran in the Cape Fillies Guineas last time, but is much better suited to 1400m. With just 51kg on her back she has got to be a runner and should be in the shake-up. Fear Not has a lot of problems, so 1400m might be better for her now considering her niggles, although theoretically it’s on the short side. But it’s a very competitive race. ”

Tenth race,  a MR 88 Handicap over 1200m, “Cuban Emerald won well last time and is up to the new merit rating he has been given. Piere Strydom suits him well. Mutzi won a good race last time and I expect him to run well. He could be in the trifectas and quartets. I am a little worried the handicapper has reached Captain Courteous, but he was unlucky last time. There is not much in it, but Cuban Emerald could be the stable elect.”

By David Thiselton

Five out of province trainers will be involved in the L’Ormarins Queen’s Plate meeting and they have some good winning chances.

In the big one the Sean Tarry-trained title holder Legal Eagle has not been beaten in four career attempts at a mile and that includes three Graded weight for age miles. Tarry has a lot of respect for Marinaresco having taken note of his unbelievable run in the Vodacom Durban July, but Legal Eagle will likely be able to dictate considering his handy style of running, his good draw and the world class Anton Marcus in the saddle. Therefore, he is going to be very hard to beat.

Most are viewing it as a two horse race, but another out of province runner, the Mike Azzie-trained Abashiri is the one horse of the rest who has the ability to upset. The Triple Crown hero had a very tough task t the weights in the July, but ran a commendable race, and after a deserved holiday he now has his third run after a layoff. The trip is on the sharp side, but he has three things in his favour, a pole position draw, the brilliant Gavin Lerena aboard and he is a son of Go Deputy, whose progeny notably come into their own during their four-year-old season.

Tarry also runs the classy French Navy, who would prefer further and this is a likely preparation for the Sun Met, but he is capable of a place especially with Weichong Marwing up. Mike de Kock runs the three-year-old Bold Rex, who has a tough task on official merit ratings, but he is very much a progressive sort and is one of the dark horses from a good draw of six under Randall Simons.

Dennis Drier has recently won the Gr 1 Maine Chance Paddock Stakes with the brilliant Beach Beauty and his charge this year Sail has a definite shout as an improving sort who was staying on late in the Gr 1 WSB Cape Fillies Guineas, although she has a tough draw.

Tarry has a fine chance in the Paddock Stakes with Safe Harbour, a long-striding three-year-old who could be the chief danger to the ultra-classy local horse Bela-Bela. Tarry’s other charge Tahini is improving, as Silvano’s do, but is up against it on her bare form.

Tarry’s first-timer in race 2, Celestina, is by Kahal out of a Jet Master maiden. The champion trainer has had a fine record with two-year-old first-timers over the last two seasons.

De Kock’s runner here Rumbavar is significantly having her second start as she is a full-sister to a filly who won by over five lengths second time out.

De Kock’s runner in the Gr 3 Politician Stakes, Coyote, looks to have his work cut out on formlines, although being by Fort Wood he might enjoy the step up in trip.

De Kock has a fine chance of landing the Gr 3 BMW Chairmans Cup with his talented stayer Smart Mart, who looks the one to beat over the suitable 3200m trip.

In Race 9 Drier’s Chestnuts N Pearls is officially well weighted over an ideal trip, but she has not run since last June and her merit rating was achieved in a two-year-old Gr 1 which hasn’t worked out too well.

Johan Janse van Vuuren’s sole runner on the day, She’s A Giver, is a most interesting contender in that same race as she will likely relish the step down to 1400m and is well drawn, although with Simons up she does have to carry 1kg over her set 51kg.

By David Thiselton

Greyville Friday 06 January 2017 selections and tips by Andrew Harrison

Race 1
Preview: DISRUPT has been a touch disappointing but meets a weak field and now tries blinkers. At her best she should be good enough to win this. LIL GAMBLER is showing signs of coming to hand again. She caught the eye last run and should be right there. VALLANAUT found market support last start but was not suited to the soft ground. She can do much better here. WILLOWGRANE is a battling maiden but goes well on the poly and is seldom too far back. She has a chance in this company.  (Andrew Harrison: 1-5-12-2).

Race 2
Preview: Poor field. SOLDIER’S BRIDE has yet to finish out of the money and will never get a better chance to shed her maiden ticket. TAKAMAKA has shown some recent improvement on the Highveld and that form could prove stronger than local. She looks a threat to the selection. ROY’S PONY was a beaten favourite last run after a good second at her penultimate start. She could prove better over this shorter trip. POMONA is a well bred first timer and one to watch in the betting. (Andrew Harrison: 1-6-7-11).

Race 3
Preview: Tricky. STARWIN has been knocking at the door. She was a close-up second last start and can go one better here. MOSTARDA returns from a break but has only had three outings and looks to have some scope and can still improve. MANDOLIN appears to be coming to hand and was close-up last run. She has a four-claimer up and a repeat of her last start should see her contest the finish. BYE BYE BABY found some long-shot support last start and did improve. She could be com9ng to hand. (Andrew Harrison: 1-2-5-4).

Race 4
Preview: FASHION FUSION was not disgraced in Graduation company two runs back and was coming at them late next time out. She looks to have a big chance in this field. LAVENDER BANK has had one run since a lengthy break. She is lightly raced but does have some ability. JAZZ BAR has show some improvement on the poly and looks best over this trip. MAMSELLE AL was a recent maiden winner at her 21^st attempt but that form has worked out quite well and she has a chance again. (Andrew Harrison: 11-1-7-2).

Race 5
Preview: Wide open. ALDRIC has a big weight but does take a drop in class and is seldom far back. CAUGHTINTHEDEEP was much improved last run and has a light weight. A repeat could see him home. RED APACHE has not been far back at recent outings and with a four-claimer up can feature. APOLLO’S GIFT has shown recent improvement and can run into the money. (Andrew Harrison: 1-11-2-4).

Race 6
Preview: Very tricky. JUST RAP has done well to stronger and now gets a stronger rider aboard. She could be god value here. WE’RE WATCHING YOU took on a strong field first run out of the maidens. She meets weaker here and should also enjoy the extra. CAPTAINS MOLL showed early promise and finally put it together last start. The blinkers go on and she can do even better. HALLOWED SPRING is lightly raced and can improve on her poly debut. (Andrew Harrison: 7-5-8-2)

Race 7
Preview: GINGERBREAD MAN has excellent form on the poly. He goes this trip for the first time but from the best draw he must have a bright chance. HIGHWAY EIGHTYFIVE has been racing in strong company since shedding his maiden. He looks better than rated. SECRET WARNING was an easy course and distance winner last run and is well in at these weights. He can follow up. EDDIE SWEAT jumps in trip and has taken a rating drop so looks fairly well in. (Andrew Harrison: 1-6-2-4).

Race 8
Preview: ROY’S HOLLYHOCK takes on males but has shown some promise in her last two starts. She makes her poly debut but rates the one to beat. MEDIA CICUS has run his two best recent races on the poly and looks the principal danger. STORM OUTGOING improved last run when tried over ground and the blinkers are back on. COUNT PHILLIP is lengths better on the poly and should improve on his last run on the turf. (Andrew Harrison: 12-1-6-7)

The Gr 3 Cartier Politician Stakes over 1800m on L’Ormarins Queen’s Plate day has become an important Investec Cape Derby pointer and the Joey Ramsden-trained Newlands looks to be the one to side with from a pole position draw with Anton Marcus up.

The Australian-bred will relish the trip, being by Epsom Derby winner High Chaparral, although he is not all about stamina as his dam is a half-sister to Golden Slipper winner and Champion two-year-old colt in Australia, Vancouver. Newlands’ strong form gives him the edge over the rest of the field.

As a two-year-old he was staying on strongly in the Gr 3 Langerman over 1500m to finish just 1,35 lengths behind his stalwart stablemate Table Bay, from whom he was receiving just 2kg. In his seasonal reappearance in a Graduation Plate over 1600m he was receiving just 2kg from the four-year-old Whisky Baron and was beaten just 1,25 lengths. Whisky Baron went on to win his next two starts and is currently the J&B Met third favourite.

Newlands lost his chance at the start of the Lanzerac Ready To Run Stakes over 1400m when missing the break, but stayed on from last and finished just 5,5 lengths back.

Last time out he finished 2,55 lengths back in a MR 88 Handicap over 1600m off a merit rating of 90, not great form at first sight, but the winner of the race was none other than William Longsword, from whom he was receiving just 1,5kg. The latter followed up by winning the Gr 1 Grand Parade Cape Guineas in impressive style.

Newlands is the joint highest merit rated horse in the Politician Stakes on 91 and is officially joint best weighted together with Horizon and Sunset Eyes.

On collateral form Craven looks to have the measure of Horizon. The Candice Bass-Robinson-trained colt was comfortably beaten by Craven in his penultimate start and the latter had few excuses when beaten 9,3 lengths in the Cape Guineas.

Horizon is bred in the purple, being by Dynasty out of an unraced full-sister to the champion stallion Silvano. He was unlucky in the Listed Jet Master Stakes over 1600m and was rallying back at the line. The progeny of Dynasty improve with age and he will relish the step up in trip. The Bass-Robinson yard are known for bringing their horses on steadily, so Horizon can’t be written off with stable jockey Grant van Niekerk up from a good draw.

The Brett Crawford-trained Sunset Eyes was taken into the lead from a wide draw over 1400m last time and used his big action to good effect in front, only just failing to hold on. He has never been tried over further than 1400m and on pedigree there is a slight stamina doubt. He also looks held by Newlands on a line through Table Bay, although he is joint best in at the weights officially.

On jockeys bookings, the Crawford yard appear to prefer both Carbon Offset and The Great One, as Richard Fourie and Corne Orffer have kept the respective rides.

Carbon Offset, who is by Gimmethegreenlight and is a half-brother to Gr 1 winner Forest Indigo, was keen in front last time when fading over 1600m in a handicap. However, he had stayed on to win the previous time in a 1600m handicap when covered up in the running and comfortably beat Summer Sky, who went on to beat Sunset Eyes. The form of Carbon Offset’s last win has worked out well, but from a wide draw on Saturday the cover he appears to need won’t be easy to find and his keen antics last time don’t augur well for the step up in trip. He is also officially 1,5kg under sufferance with the best in.

The Great One can hardly be separated from Horizon on the form of his win over 1400m at Durbanville in his penultimate start, although he was subsequently never in the race in the Lanzerac Ready To Run Stakes. The Nadeem colt should relish the step up in trip, but is officially 1kg under sufferance with the best in.

The Justin Snaith-trained Strathdon hasn’t run since early November when beaten 5,3 lengths by William Longsword over 1600m, when receiving just 0,5kg. Therefore, he is not far behind Newlands on form and confirming that is a line through a horse called Union Jack. He is by Silvano so should be improving all the time and he will relish the step up in trip. He is a dark horse and is officially only 0,5kg under sufferance with the best in too. He has a good draw of three and Weichong Marwing is an interesting booking.

The Snaith-trained King Of The Rally finished just 3,25 lengths behind Cape Guineas runner up Gold Standard in a maiden over 1600m in October. However, Gold Standard didn’t get out of third gear and furthermore King Of The Rally was receiving 4kg from the horse he beat in the Guineas Plate in PE by 0,25 lengths and the latter, Pacific Spirit, was then beaten 7,8 lengths in the Cape Guineas.

Ollivander improved over 1800m last time, just failing from a wide draw, and is a Silvano from the Bass-Robinson yard who should be continually improving. However, on form-lines he has his work cut out and looks the yard second string.

The Slade, a half-brother by Philanthropist to Gr 1-winner Afrikaburn, is an interesting runner as he beat Craven in a handicap over 1600m when receiving only 1,5kg and is a galloping type who should enjoy this course and distance.

However, he was flattered by the 1,5 length margin he finished behind William Longsword in the Sealangor over 1600m as the latter was clearly below par on the day.

The latter trio mentioned are all officially 1,5kg under sufferance with the best in. It all points to Newlands winning this important Derby trial.

By David Thiselton