Legal Eagle is now only 6-4 for the Sun Met after the impressive way he powered clear to win his second successive L’Ormarins Queen’s Plate at Kenilworth on Saturday.

The leading bookmakers yesterday reassessed their prices for the January 28 highlight and Betting World, in addition to shortening last year’s second from 22-10, clipped Bela-Bela from 15-2 to 6-1. But the big mover was Whisky Baron from 17-2 to 4-1 third favourite.

Marinaresco, previously 18-10 favourite, is now out to 7-2 and was a big disappointment on Saturday. He started second favourite at 2-1 and it all went pear-shaped in the first furlong. Grant van Niekerk repeatedly tried to slot in from his wide draw only to find his path continuously blocked. He turned for home with only Sail South behind him and the last remaining hopes of the jockey, and all those who put their money on him, were wiped out when the horse took two furlongs to get going.

Legal Eagle (Liesl King)

“Hopefully we can redeem ourselves in the Met,” said a disappointed Candice Bass-Robinson. “But I don’t know that we could have beaten the winner here even with a decent draw.”

Second-placed Captain America (unchanged on 25-1) was only a length behind Legal Eagle when third in last year’s Met but stable companion Sail South, who finished faster than anything – the winner included, won’t be supplemented. “There is no point in kidding ourselves – he doesn’t get further than a mile,” said Brett Crawford. “There is nothing else for him in Cape Town so he will probably go to Durban again.”

Abashiri (now 40-1 from 25-1) finished stone last but there were excuses for the Triple Crown winner as he was returned not striding out. Piere Strydom had concerns about The Conglomerate (seventh and unchanged on 14-1)) down at the start but the vet could find nothing wrong and so the horse was allowed to run.

It was a sixth Queen’s Plate for Anton Marcus whose four-timer included a last gasp Maine Chance Farms Paddock Stakes on Bela-Bela. Tongue firmly in cheek, he said he was hoping to convince the Snaiths to go for the Klawervlei Majorca rather than the Met!

Justin Snaith, much more seriously, said: “I thought it was a bit of a flat run. There is more to come from her – she had only had one previous run this season – and so I still have my work cut out.”

Marcus specifically mentioned Whisky Baron as a threat in the Met and the four-year-old, named after Wayne Kieswetter, won for the fourth consecutive time since being gelded when taking the Glorious Goodwood Peninsula Handicap in a time three seconds faster than the Cartier Politician Stakes. Believe it or not, Greg Cheyne’s mount came back with a cut in his chest.

“He is much improved and he has been flawless since being gelded,” said Crawford. “We picked this route – easier than running in the Queen’s Plate – to prove he was capable of taking his place in the Met.”

It’s My Turn, less than half a length behind Milton who was runner-up for the second year running, has been cut from 16-1 to 12-1 and might well have finished even closer had he not lost a front shoe, probably quite early on when he had to be eased off the heels of the horse in front.

Safe Harbour, just touched off by Marcus in the Paddock as well as in the Fillies Guineas, could seek compensation in the Majorca which has long been the aim of third-placed Silver Mountain.  Opinions are divided as to whether she got the 1 800m.

“Grant said she didn’t but I don’t think we can say that. The winner is perhaps the better over this distance,” was the view of the trainer. “Nightingale (fourth) will also run in the Majorca, maybe with a pair of blinkers.”

Horizon will be one of the main contenders for the Investec Cape Derby after comfortably justifying odds of 3-4 under joint top weight in the Politician. “It hasn’t been plain-sailing with him,’ said Mrs Bass-Robinson. “He is heavy, takes a lot of work and haemo-concentrates a bit. But on his breeding he can only improve.”

The once-record priced Dynasty colt (out of a full sister to Silvano) races under the name of Hunkydory Investments but top game breeder Piet du Toit will be the registered owner by the time of the Derby.

Runner-up Newlands will join Table Bay in Joey Ramsden’s bid to win the classic. ”He is a hard horse to win with,” said Ramsden. “His crime in life is that he doesn’t quicken.”

By Michael Clower

Scottsville Saturday Race Previews by Warren Lenferna
Moved to Greyville Monday

Race 1
Preview: Mostly first timers so watch the betting and have a look at the first timer comments – of the raced runners a big run can be expected from EASY PEASY she has been running on well over 800m and now the extended trip should be right up her alley – big runner. (Warren Lenferna NO SELECTION)

Race 2
Preview: VALCAR ran a cracker last time and was denied victory in the shadow of the post – hard to beat today. MIGHTY HASH is well tried but should get it right one of these days. SILVER SAILS ran on well on debut and finished third – big chance. KINSHASA showed huge improvement in his second run and is one of the leading lights. (Warren Lenferna 16-2-14-9)

Race 3
Preview: SEATTLE SPELL has a bad draw to overcome but ran well last time when beaten in the shadow of the post – he rates very hard to beat today. ASYOUPLEASE is the biggest danger but tries the distance for the first time – he is well drawn. PRINCE ARIANO ran well last time and is a must in everything and ROY’S STORMER has a chance as well but they will all have to go some to peg back SEATTLE SPELL. (Warren Lenferna 4-11-3-15)

Race 4
Preview: A weak field and trainer Craig Eudey seems to have found the right spot for the ever consistent THE MONEY MAN to record his second career victory – I fancy him quite strongly and have selected him to win. MAMBO raced well with first time tongue tie last time and based on that in this weak field should be able to go very close – respect. ROYAL ZULU GUARD is coming back to form and cannot be ignored. JACK THE KNIFE nearly won at long odds last time and if he repeats that run will have a chance again. (Warren Lenferna 3-4-9-10)

Race 5
Preview: Rather a hard race faces punters here. GAVEA GIRL has a deep draw to overcome but if she does she should be able to go very close as her form is consistent and she seems cheery ripe to record her second career win. CAPTAINS MOLL won so well last time that if she followed up it would be bno shock at all. LUNA SEA is consistent and her stable is in mustard form at present it would be silly not to give her a chance. (Warren Lenferna 8-3-4-2)

Race 6
Preview: WILD WICKET won and won well last time. He gets the best draw today and he looks progressive. He has been selected to record back to back victories. His form lines are very strong especially since Mr O’Neill has won again. PALLADIUM gets the advantage of some weight off his back from the claiming apprentice and this brings him right into the picture. MY PAL AL is way better than his last run in the Dingaans suggests. He has ability and cannot be discounted. RED CHESTNUT ROAD returns from a long rest and he should be able to run well here but his level of fitness is unknown – he is rated and has ability so do not ignore him. (Warren Lenferna 5-3-6-1)

Race 7
Preview: Don’t blink as you will miss the race – the speed will be on from the jump. CALL ME WINTER has shown that 1000m’s is her game – she is lightening fast and just finds another gear in the closing stages of the race. She is taking on some older hard knocking males but I do believe that her speed will see her through to the winner’s box – she is my firm first choice. Cheek can be expected from the marvelous MUSCATT – he is super and has tons of ability but is set to carry top weight. BLAZE OF MYSTERY, ISCA and A WOMANS WAY all have a chance. (Warren Lenferna 4-1-6-5)

Race 8
Preview: RUSSIAN GIRL looks ready to notch up her next career win and her trainer seems to have found the right race for her. STORM KITTEN, AZNERAK and LA DI VAR are all running well and should be close up together at the finish. (Warren Lenferna 4-8-9-1)

The main supporting feature on Saturday’s L’Ormarins Queen’s Plate card is the Gr 1 Maine Chance Farms Paddock Stakes for fillies and mares and Bela-Bela looks to be the meeting banker.

This four-year-old Dynasty filly was rated by Anthony Delpech as the second best filly he had ever ridden behind only Igugu after winning the Gr 1 Woolavington 2000 last May. In her recent comeback over 1400m she oozed class once more and she only needed to be stretched out in the final stages to get up over a trip short of her best. Last year as a still maturing three-year-old she finished only three lengths behind Smart Call in this race and the latter went on to produce one of the best Met performances in history.

Bela-Bela (Nkosi Hlophe)

Bela-Bela looks hard to beat. If she is not made a banker, the race becomes a mine field. Safe Harbour is a long-striding sort who is thriving in Cape Town and on pedigree should enjoy the step up in trip. Bela-Bela’s stablemate Star Express is highly regarded by the yard and only has 1,3 lengths to make up on the latter from last year and she now has the draw Bela-Bela had last year, pole position. Sail is a classy and progressive three-year-old who was running on late in the Cape Fillies Guineas, so is a big runner if able to overcome her draw. Chevauchee has always had a big reputation and finally gets to prove how good she is over a course and distance which should suit.

Nightingale is not far off Bela-Bela on Woolavington form and now has her third run after a layoff. Silver Mountain is classy and should be coming into her own being by Silvano, but there has to be a slight stamina doubt. Final Judgement was unlucky in the Cape Fillies Guineas and she should be staying on with long strides. Whose That Girl was also unlucky in the Cape Fillies Guineas and will be staying on. Goodtime Gal is consistent but has a wide draw, albeit with Gavin Lerena up. Tahini is small but has improved this season although she needs a further step up and Icy Fire also needs to improve.

In the Gr 3 Cartier Politician Stakes Newlands’ form stands out as superior to the rest of the field and he should relish the course and distance too. Horizon caught the eye when unlucky in the Jet Master Stakes over 1600m and will be staying on too. Strathdon has a nice stride and will love the galloping nature of the course and distance, so is another threat. Ollivander is a nice type and could be the dark horse. Carbon Offset’s last win over 1600m has worked out well, but there are question marks over this trip.

In the Gr 2 Glorious Goodwood Peninsula Handicap Whisky Baron is improving all the time and his class should carry him close, although Mambo Mime and It’s My Turn also have the class to win and Nebula, Icy Trail and Star Chestnut could pick up the pieces if any of those three fail.

By David Thiselton

Legal Eagle and Anton Marcus may look well-nigh impregnable in tomorrow’s L’Ormarins Queen’s Plate but the recent history of the country’s top mile race suggests they are odds-on to get beat.

Four of the last five favourites have bitten the dust and no five-year-old has managed to win the race since Mother Russia six years ago. “We haven’t been that hard on Legal Eagle since his last win but he is fit enough and well enough to do it,” says Sean Tarry.

Marinaresco (Nkosi Hlophe)

Indeed there is only one reason why his horse shouldn’t repeat his victory of 12 months ago and that is local hero Marinaresco, a four-year-old like all the last four winners. In theory he shouldn’t win. Apart from anything else he is drawn badly and needs further. He also has nearly half a length to find on Green Point running but his stable is now in better form, his jockey is ultra-talented and he fights like a terrier.

The betting suggests it’s a two-horse race. You can get anything between 14-1 and 66-1 about the other nine. The in-form Brett Crawford, successful with Futura two years ago only to lose the horse in an owner fall-out, has two solid place-possible contenders in last year’s fourth Captain America and Sail South as well as the likely pacemaker.

French Navy has the ability – only the favourite is rated higher – and at 16-1 he appears to have been overlooked.  Abashiri almost certainly needs another run but The Conglomerate could well get into the shake-up despite once again being drawn in the bush.

Not that many three-year-olds run in the Queen’s Plate but the last five to do so have produced a winner, a second and a third. Seemingly Bold Rex is a fair bit better than his Premier run would suggest (Mathew de Kock: “He definitely should have won – he was very unlucky”). You can get 4.2-1 a place and you could do worse.

Marcus and Grant van Niekerk may already have fought it out in the Maine Chance Farms Paddock Stakes by this stage and again it’s not a race where you should take out a bond to put your house on the favourite. Four of the last six have been beaten.

Bela-Bela gets the vote only because the connections of Silver Mountain seem so concerned about last season’s runaway Cape Fillies Guineas winner lasting out a trip over which she has yet to race. Her best form – and, don’t forget, she didn’t thrive in Durban – suggests those concerns might well prove groundless.

But this is no two-horse race and every time anyone asks Justin Snaith about Bela-Bela he mentions Star Express who is about ten times the price. Safe Harbour (7-1 best) justified significant market support in the Lanzerac Ready To Run and was only pipped on the post when equally well backed in the Fillies Guineas.

Nightingale just might make the frame but Goodtime Gal beat her last time and the trip is in favour of Chevauchee who at 20-1 could be the best outsider.

By Michael Clower

Legal Eagle’s win in last year’s L’Ormarins Queen’s Plate “answered quite a few questions” for trainer Sean Tarry, who “realised he’s as effective over a ‘mile’ as over 2000m”.

Sean Tarry (Liesl King)

If he wins the R1.5-million race on Saturday, his name will be mentioned alongside such great horses as Jet Master, Wolf Power and Sledgehammer, who won the race in consecutive years, as well as Pocket Power, winner of the Queen’s Plate four years running. Tarry, who as normal was cautious in his assessment, said: “He’s doing well and has got quite a bit in his favour.”

The weight-for-age conditions will suit the Greys Inn gelding. He is weighted eight points or four lengths superior to Marinaresco on current merit ratings, he has a good draw at No 3, can perform off any pace, from the front or off them and will be partnered by a jockey who knows him well in Anton Marcus.

“I have a healthy respect for Marinaresco, who is on the up and improving quickly. But I do believe Legal Eagle has room for improvement on his Green Point Stakes run. It’s just a matter of where Marinaresco is in his preparation. It’s hard to draw a comparison.”

Legal Eagle beat Marinaresco by 0.40 lengths in that event, run over the same course and distance as the Queen’s Plate, although Marcus said afterwards, “He was running on empty.”

Tarry says: “Yes, he needed that run but not desperately. He may have hit the front a little soon and any horse is going to empty out if asked too early. But you can’t over analyse every move, you’ll just drive yourself mad.

“To simplify things, that was Legal Eagle’s second run after a rest. He hadn’t been seen out for a long time before his comeback and there’s got to be ongoing improvement.

“There have been no issues with his preparation, it’s gone pretty smoothly.”

Tarry is one person who does not necessarily see the Queen’s Plate as a boat race between Legal Eagle and Marinaresco. “I think people have forgotten about French Navy,” he said, referring to his other runner in the Grade 1 race.

French Navy (Nkosi Hlophe)

“He’s as good, if not better, than the other runners (barring the top two) we face and he’ll be finishing strongly. I can never regard any race as a match race – if it was that easy we’d all have millions in the bank.

“French Navy never had a good programme last season, things didn’t go his way. I’m expecting a good run from him.”

Weichong Marwing has ridden French Navy in his last four starts and will ride the Count Dubois gelding again.

Tarry believes Safe Harbour is the better of his two in the Maine Chance Farms Paddock Stakes (Grade 1). “She’s doing well, enjoying Cape Town and she’s got a chance,” he commented.

Safe Harbour, a three-year-old, has drawn at No 2 and comes in off a close-up second in the Cape Fillies Guineas behind Just Sensual.

His other runner is year-older Tahini, who did not do as well in her Cape debut, when sixth in an 1800m Allowance Plate last month.

S’manga Khumalo is booked for Tahini, while Weichong Marwing will ride Safe Harbour.

TABNews