Billy Prestage’s good stayer built up a huge lead in last month’s Settlers Trophy and romped home over five lengths clear. Many of the rival trainers have since made it clear that they think their jockeys were caught napping by Wes Marwing’s opportunism but the fact that his mount took more than two seconds off the course record suggests there was no fluke about the performance.

Some observers even took the 2 400m record with a pinch of salt, pointing to the improved state of the track, but not many other races have established new records.

Dean Kannemeyer

Red Peril is the oldest horse in the race and the handicappers have raised his rating by eight points, roughly the equivalent of the five lengths-plus by which he won. But he had been ten lengths clear approaching the furlong mark and he appeared to have been allowed to ease in the closing stages.

However Marwing, the one man in a position to know, says not – “I rode him to the line. I think it was more a case of the others having realised they had to do something about it (the big lead).”

Prestage is optimistic, saying: “I am very happy with him at home and I believe he has an outstanding chance although I don’t think the others will let him get away so easily this time.”

At the TAB forecast 5-2 he looks the best bet but Justin Snaith, bidding for his fourth Woolavington, has two strong contenders in the hat-trick seeking Strathdon and the mare Northern Ballet.

“I think Strathdon shows the more potential. He won his last race very well and he stays well,” is the trainer’s view.

Candice Bass-Robinson is two-handed with Three Balloons, who never really got into it in the Settlers, and Benjan whose 3kg under sufferance gives him a lot to do.

“Benjan stays well and Three Balloons should be competitive,” says Mrs Robinson. “He now has two runs under his belt this season and he still needed it last time.”

Dean Kannemeyer has won more Woolavingtons (seven) than all tomorrow’s rivals put together but Speed Of Africa, despite winning his last two starts, has been off for six months. “I have given him plenty of time – he is backward and immature – but it’s been a long break and I would like to have got one or two gallops into him.”

Mangrove ran well on his reappearance three weeks ago but Greg Ennion has well-founded reservations, explaining: “He is 3kg under sufferance so it’s a big ask. But there aren’t many races for him so we are giving it a go.”

By Michael Clower