He hasn’t raced since being beaten at 1-3 in the Investec Cape Derby 13 weeks ago, he has to give 3kg to the rest of the field as well as a start – he is drawn on the wide outside – yet such is his superiority that TAB sheet forecast has him starting at 1-8!

The bookmakers are unlikely to be quite that stingy but on merit ratings he has a minimum of seven lengths in hand. It’s easy to forget just how good the colt looked when he won the Selangor and again when he repeated the performance in the Cape Guineas. At that stage it was a question of when, not whether, he would display his talents on the world stage.

His below par Derby display was explained by a slight throat infection – he was in trouble too far out for lack of stamina to be the root cause – and two searching racecourse gallops have convinced Joey Ramsden that he has him fit enough.

“Like Variety Club, he is not fully wound up,” says the Milnerton trainer. “But I would not be running him if I didn’t think he was fit enough to do the job.”

Three years ago Variety Club also came into this after winning the Guineas and finishing second in the Derby. He started at 1-5 and was nursed home by an eye-to-the-future Anton Marcus. Expect more of the same on Sunday.

Most of the statistics back Act Of War’s cause. Favourites have won three of the last four runnings and Marcus himself is bidding to win this race for the third time in four years.

From a punting aspect the all-important question is who is going to finish second.  Alpha Pegasi is the choice on ratings after being raised 2.5kg for his narrow defeat on Monday but Tomba La Bomba makes marginally more appeal.

The Mike Bass-trained gelding is on a hat-trick, his trainer has won five of the last 15 Winter Guineas and Karl Neisius has been successful three times in the last five years.

Brutal Force, who galloped with Act Of War at Kenilworth last week, seems likely to start favourite for the First National Bank Pinnacle Stakes and could be worth an interest even though he has a bit to find on ratings. He looked all over the winner a furlong out in Tomba La Bomba’s last race but seemed to run out of steam in the closing stages. Both his wins have been in sprints and this race could suit him.

Sheikh Mohammed bin Khalifa Al Maktoum’s group II winner Mubtaahij had an easy three-furlong breeze timed in 37.40sec with jockey Christophe Soumillon aboard April 30 at Churchill Downs to wrap up serious preparation for the Kentucky Derby Presented by Yum! Brands (gr. I).

“It was a very easy work just to stretch his legs,” trainer Mike de Kock said of the move just two days before the Derby. “It just gets them breathing a little bit deeper, gets the blood oxygenated, lets them stretch, and get the circulation going into the muscles.”

Churchill Downs clockers also noted the first furlong in 13.20sec and a half-mile gallop-out time of 52.40sec. “I just told [Christophe] to let him stretch his legs out over the last 400 (meters) and just enjoy himself,” De Kock said.

An easy blowout 48 hours prior to race day is part of the standard operating procedure in De Kock’s barn. “I always do it, or nine times out of 10, I’ll blow them out,” De Kock said. “Some of them a little bit harder, some of them a little less, depending on the horse.”

– Bloodhorse.com
– Picture: Mubtaahij (Dubai Racing Club)

The Champions Season’s opening meeting at Greyville tomorrow sees some of the country’s best horses clashing in three much anticipated Gr 2 races.

The current three-year-old fillies crop is possibly the best ever seen in this country, and the KRA Fillies Guineas looks to be the most exciting of the three races. The dual Gr 1-winner Inara will clash with two potentially brilliant milers in One Fine Day and Alexis, while the tough Trophy Wife and the promising Ataab will give an inkling of how strong the Johannesburg three-year-old classic form is.

One Fine Day quickened effortlessly in her last start over 1400m at Greyville and won with a bit in hand. She finished an excellent second against the boys over 1400m in last season’s Gr 1 Golden Horseshoe so clearly enjoys this track. This Trippi filly has struck as one that will get the 1600m. Her exceptional turn of foot will mean she can afford to be dropped out from her tricky draw, especially considering her stablemate Ataab looks capable of ensuring a good gallop.

Alexis switched inward and then outward again before finishing strongly in the 1400m race at Greyville won by One Fine Day. She is now 2kg better off for a 1,75 length beating and, furthermore, she needed that last run. This Dynasty filly has speed but also plenty of gears over shorter so should stay the trip. Her pedigree also suggests she will get the trip. She put in eyecatching work at Summerveld on Tuesday and has clearly come on a lot from that last run.

Inara finished runner up to Majmu in the best form race of the season, the Gr 1 Avontuur Estate Cape Fillies Guineas, and followed up by winning both the Gr 1 Maine Chance Paddock Stakes over 1800m and the Gr 1 Klawervlei Majorca Stakes over 1600m. She was given a deserved break after that but the yard said that this Trippi filly, who apparently shows nothing at home, would be “quite fit” and considering her form that would be enough to put her in with a big shout.

Trophy Wife is ever improving but at this level she might prefer a galloping track like Turffontein. She has had a grueling campaign but is tough.

Silver Class stayed on well to finish just a length behind One Fine Day over 1400m at Greyville last time out but the latter appeared to have a bit in hand. She could earn.

Real Princess is held in good regard and could still be anything.

Cathy Specific is a nice type capable of running on strongly and will have come on from her last start, but is in the deep end here.

Zante has Cathy Specific held on formlines but would prefer further.

Sensible Lover looks held by Trophy Wife and Ataab looks held by Inara. However, Ataab could play a valuable role as pacemaker.

Just Lucky looks outclassed here.

The selection is One Fine Day to beat Alexis with Inara, Real Princess and Trophy Wife next best.

The KRA Guineas is an intriguing affair, but the classy Heartland has gears which makes him suited to Greyville and he should now be coming into his own. However, his draw is a concern and so the surprise choice to beat him is Light The Lights. The best hasn’t been seen of this well regarded sort and from a good draw he could make amends for his last start over 1400m at Greyville when caught wide pulling for his head but still managing to stay on. He has come on from that run and has been working well.

Ultimate Dollar has an impressive stride and although the Daily News 2000 might be more down his alley he is well drawn here so should turn for home handy and he will build up more and more momentum down the straight so is tipped for third.

Anjaal finished a narrow third in a two-year-old Gr 1 over course and distance and looks to have turned the corner again after going off form, so he should be involved from a good draw.

Jayyed narrowly beat Anjaal in the aforementioned Gr 1, but has had to have a breathing operation and this is only his second run since.

Kingvoldt is 3kg better off with Heartland for a 0,75 length beating over 1400m at this course so must have a shout, although he does have a tricky draw.

Forest Fox is a talented sort and the yard now know that he needs to be left alone in the early stages before running on.

The Conglomerate is a progressive sort but might need the run and will prefer the distances of the Daily News and July.

Easy Lover ran on well over 1400m after being slow away last time and is now 2kg better off with Heartland for a 1,75 length beating. He has a wide draw so might have to come from near the back again.

Amazing Strike should be coming into his own but made a breathing noise last time and is widely drawn.

The selection is Light The Lights to beat Heartland with Ultimate Dollar, Anjaal and Kingvoldt next best.

Legislate runs very well fresh and the Gr 2 Independent On Saturday Drill Hall Stakes over 1400m will tell whether he is the same horse after his L’Ormarins Queen’s Plate failure, subsequent to which he was found to have had a serious lung infection. He should win if that incident caused no long term effect. King Of Pain is the other class horse in the race and a wide draw and having his second run after a rest shouldn’t stop him from going close. Ashton Park, Night Trip and Ze Kaiser are all effective over this trip and are tipped to follow the two big guns home.

–     By David Thiselton

Picture: One Fine Day (Nkosi Hlophe)

Glen Kotzen has two further chances of success in Saturday’s KRA Guineas meeting at Greyville having started his Champions Season campaign in fine style at Scottsville on Sunday by winning both the Gr3 Strelitzia Stakes and the Gr 3 Poinsettia Stakes.

Kotzen runs the progressive Western Winter colt Light The Lights in the Gr 2 KRA Guineas and described him as “a proper horse”.

He said that Light The Lights had been “a bit above himself” in his Champions Season pipe opener over 1400m at Greyville, so it was not surprising that he fought for his head early when caught wide in a slow-paced race. However, he was seen to be doing pleasingly strong work late in the race. Kotzen added that Light The Lights had worked “very well” on Tuesday morning at Summerveld. He was looking forward to seeing how the colt would do from a good draw on Saturday as he has always regarded him as one who would come into his own in the latter part of the season. Light The Lights will follow the same path as the yard’s Vodacom Durban July winner of 2009, Big City Life, although he has big shoes to fill as Big City Life won both the KRA Guineas and the Gr 1 Daily News 2000, having arrived in KZN on the back of a win in the Gr 1 Cape Derby. Light The Lights looks fair value in the ante-post July market at 150/1 for a win and 30/1 for a place, although off a merit rating of 102 he will need a couple of big runs just to get into the big race.

Kotzen runs Cathy Specific in the Gr 2 KRA Fillies Guineas, a Royal Air Force filly who is part-owned by his son Kuyan. He said, “It is a tough ask as she is a bit out at the weights, but we will take our chances. She needed her first run here and ran a good race and has come on a lot from it.”

Cathy Specific won her debut over 1000m at Kenilworth on January 10 in impressive style after a slow start and she was then not disgraced in a competitive handicap over 1000m on J&B Met day when a 1,65 length fifth behind the useful Balkan. She followed up by finishing a 3,25 length fourth in the level weights Listed Breeders Guineas at Fairview on March 12 from a wide draw. In her Champions Season pipe opener at Greyville she produced her usual strong finish to win a fillies and mares Progress Plate over 1600m by a short-head. The runner up was the promising  Zante, who needs further and was flying late. Zante will have a 6kg weight swing in her favour on Saturday, so Cathy Specific will have to have improved a lot from that last run. Cathy Specific is only an 81 merit rating at present, but looks to be an unexposed, progressive sort who should rise above that figure in time. This is her first big test and she will have to prove well above average to feature in a classic race contested by some of the best fillies of a vintage crop.

– By David Thiselton

Picture: Light The Lights (Nkosi Hlophe)

Mullins Bay, a resident sire of Summerhill Stud out of a brilliant female line – his dam Bella Colora by Bellypha, won three times in the United Kingdom and the United Arab Emirates, and realised a childhood dream for his part owner Mick Goss when he raced in the British Gr1 Champion Stakes.

Mullins Bay was the best racing son of sire of sires Machiavellian in the world in 2006, and earned a Timeform Rating of 121. A 525.000 guineas yearling, he raced in the UK and UAE, achieving three wins over distances of 1800-2000m from 3 to 4 years old. He had 14 starts and took home 12 cheques, including a Gr3 win at three years old, and placing in Group and Listed races seven times.

He is a half-brother to three Bold Black Type horses, Alkaadhem, Stage Craft and Hyabella. Stage Craft (by Sadler’s Wells) was the highest weighted older Horse in Europe and is now a sire. Another two sires, both full-brothers by Sadler’s Wells can be found under Mullins Bay’s second dam – that being Kayf Tara and Opera House.

Mick Goss is quoted on Summerhill’s website regarding the acquisition of Mullins Bay: “Here was a horse with a prince’s pedigree, the looks of a demi-god and the movement of a panther. He wound up one of Europe’s most expensive yearlings.”

Amongst his best progeny to date is Emilio Basiero’s talented 5-time winning chestnut, Gitiano – winner of the KZN Breeders Million Mile and finishing third in the Gr1 SA Classic. Another is Gr3 Tony Ruffel Stakes placed Mr Mulliner, Tynchy Strider, Casey’s Dance (winner of the Zimbabwean Triple Tiara), Shingle Beach and Mount Hillaby amongst others. Our condolences to all at Summerhill Stud.

Source: KZN Breeders

Photo: Mullins Bay at Summerhill’s Stallion Day