Upcoming Carryovers
PUBLISHED: January 21, 2016
Plenty of Pick 6 carryovers to look forward to…
PICK 6 MEGAPOOL – FAIRVIEW
Fri Jan 22. Net Carryover R150 000
Race 4 @ 13h45
Estimated Pool: R700 000.
PICK 6 MEGAPOOL – GREYVILLE
Fri Jan 22. Net Carryover R150 000
Race 3 @ 18h55
Estimated Pool: R1.1MILLION!
PICK 6 MEGAPOOL – KENILWORTH
Sat Jan 23. Net Carryover R500 000
Race 4 @ 13h50
Estimated Pool: R2.5MILLION!
PICK 6 MEGAPOOL – TURFFONTEIN
Sat Jan 23. Net Carryover R200 000
Race 4 @ 14h10
Estimated Pool: R1.3MILLION!
PICK 6 MEGAPOOL – SCOTTSVILLE
Sun Jan 24. Net Carryover R300 000
Race 4 @ 14h10
Estimated Pool: R1.8MILLION!
PICK 6 MEGAPOOL – FLAMINGO PARK
Mon Jan 25. Net Carryover R100 000
Race 4 @ 13h50
Estimated Pool: R675 000
PICK 6 MEGAPOOL – FAIRVIEW
Tues Jan 26. Net Carryover R103 360
Race 3 @ 14h25
Estimated Pool: R700 000
PICK 6 MEGAPOOL – TURFFONTEIN
Tues Jan 26. Net Carryover R200 000
Estimated Pool: R1.3MILLION!
PICK 6 MEGAPOOL – GREYVILLE
Wed Jan 27. Net Carryover R200 000
Race 3 @ 14h20
Estimated Pool: R1.2MILLION!
PICK 6 MEGAPOOL – KENILWORTH
Sat Jan 30. Net Carryover R2.2MILLION
Race 4 @ 13h15
Estimated Pool: R8MILLION!
Exit Here camp confident
PUBLISHED: January 21, 2016
Exit Here is going for his 6th win in a row…
Charles Laird is bullish about Exit Here in Saturday’s CTS Million Dollar. The 6-1 chance is on a roll and has won his last five.
Laird said yesterday: “He arrived in Cape Town around 7.00pm last Saturday evening and he settled in well. I worked him on the racecourse on Tuesday morning because I wanted to show him a left-handed track and he went very well.”
Anthony Delpech takes over from Anton Marcus who has ridden the colt in all his five wins but has decided to stick with Seventh Plain – but apparently only after some deliberation.
Racing manager Derek Brugman said: “Anton gave it a lot of thought and seriously considered riding Exit Here.”
Cape Guineas runner-up Brazuca is 18-10 favourite for the Investec Cape Derby but there are stamina doubts – the colt’s dam is by a sprinter. However trainer Johan Janse van Vuuren does not share them.
He said: “There is no stamina in the pedigree and at one stage I thought he wouldn’t even get a mile but I now believe he will definitely stay the trip.”
Politician winner Black Arthur is 33-10 joint second favourite with Rabada but will be 5kg worse for just over two lengths. Justin Snaith believes his horse has enough improvement left in him to confirm the placings although on Saturday the colt will not come from some far back.
He said: “We don’t want to be doing that again and anyway Black Arthur has a good draw this time.”
By Michael Clower
Picture: Exit Here (Nksoi Hlophe)
Keep an eye on Sarah
PUBLISHED: January 21, 2016
Sean Tarry has some good runners on Saturday and regards Swift Sarah as a nice outsider…
National Champion trainer Sean Tarry regarded his well-drawn Dynasty filly Swift Sarah as a “nice outsider” for the CTS Million Dollar at the Investec Day of Dreams meeting on Saturday and he also gives the higher merit rated but wider-drawn Right Approach colt Lunar Approach a shout.
Both horses arrived in Cape Town about ten days ago.
He said, “Swift Sarah has good gatespeed and is well drawn. In her only attempt at this 1400m trip she burst through the stalls and raced wide, everything went wrong, but on pedigree she should get the distance. She travelled exceptionally well and her work has been very good.”
Swift Sarah will jump from a plum draw of three with Cape Town-based jockey Grant Behr up.
Lunar Approach has won over 1600m before and was an impressive winner over 1400m at Turffontein last time out. The form of that last outing has been franked too. Tarry reckoned he could rise above his current merit rating of 96 and said, “I wouldn’t say he is a 110, but is close to 100. He has a shout but will need luck from the draw.”
If the four reserves come out, he will jump from draw ten in the 16 horse field and is to be ridden by S’Manga Khumalo.
Khumalo also rides the Tarry-trained Western Winter filly Bichette in the R1 million Gr 1 Klawervlei Majorca Stakes over 1600m and the Tarry-trained Dynasty colt Liege in the R1 million Gr 1 Investec Cape Derby over 2000m.
Tarry was still assessing whether Bichette had fully recovered from her 3,75 length eighth in the Gr 2 Sceptre Stakes over 1200m last weekend. If she takes her place, she should stay the trip, having finished a close second to subsequent Paddock Stakes winner Smart Call in the Gr 2 Ipi Tombi Stakes over 1600m at Turffontein. However, she will need luck from a wide draw.
Tarry regards the 2000m Cape Derby trip as perfect for Liege. This scopey colt bounced back to finish third in the Gr 3 Cartier Politician Stakes over 1800m last time out, having had legitimate excuses in his first two Cape Town outings. However, he is another one who has a wide draw to overcome and Tarry admitted he faced a tough field.
By David Thiselton
Plenty in favour of Same Jurisdiction
PUBLISHED: January 21, 2016
The Klawervlei Majorca Stakes draws closer and closer and everyone seems to be in favour of Same Jurisdiction…
The Gr 1 R1 million Klawervlei Majorca Stakes over 1600m at Saturday’s Investec day Of Dreams meeting looks to be at the mercy of the Duncan Howells-trained Same Jurisdiction, who is now drawn perfectly, having not had things go her way last time from a wide draw in the Gr 1 Maine Chance Farms Paddock Stakes over the less suitable trip of 1800m, which looks to only just be beyond her stamina range.
A tongue tie was tried for the first time in the Paddock Stakes and the first hiccup was when this came off down at the start and had to be refitted. The tongue tie has been dispensed with for the Majorca. The second hiccup in the Paddock Stakes occurred when she was shuffled outward on the turn, thereby losing the cover she had. She consequently over-raced for a couple of strides and this likely contributed to her relatively flat finishing run. It was still a good effort to finish fourth. She was reported to have returned with an overreach injury, but her part-owner and veterinarian Ralph Katzwinkel said it had just been a “scrape” and was unlikely to have affected her performance.
Katzwinkel is now very happy with her indeed from a veterinary perspective, describing her as “spot on”, and added by all accounts she had “come on” from her last start. She will jump from draw two over a much more suitable trip on Saturday, so will take a power of beating under the ever professional Anton Marcus.
The chief danger will be the Mike Bass-trained Inara, who failed by two lengths to defend her Paddock Stakes crown and will now attempt to defend her Majorca title under her trusted partner Grant van Niekerk. Last year she jumped from pole position and this year gets another good draw of six. She produced a magnificent late lunge last year to deny the top class Cold As Ice, who had a stamina doubt over the trip. Same Jurisdiction is going to be a tougher nut to crack, especially considering she slammed Inara by 3,25 lengths over 1400m in the build up to the Paddock Stakes, despite giving the latter 2kg. However, Inara’s form over the Kenilworth 1600m is exceptional, and as a Bass-trained horse is also sure to arrive in peak condition.
The Bass yard will also have the classy sprint-miler Lanner Falcon in the race and she is a dark horse from a plum draw of five under Bernard Fayd’Herbe. The five-year-old mare finished like a train to win the Gr 2 Diadem against the boys over 1200m last time out and has a Listed win and Gr 1 place over 1600m to her name.
Bass’ other contender Tafferty Tart was third in the Cape Fillies Guineas but comes from a crop who appear to overall be below par, so this will be tougher.
An interesting contender will be the Glen Kotzen Double Whammy, who finished third in the Cape Fillies Guineas last season, which subsequently proved to be one of the best form races of the season. Kotzen said she would now be having her peak run and added the jockey had battled to pull her up last time over 1400m after she had run on well. He said she had not over raced in first time blinkers in that race, but she was obviously going to need a lot of luck on Saturday from her wide draw.
A fascinating contestant is the Andre Nel-trained Lohnromance, a classy and unbeaten five-year-old mare, who will only be having her third career start. She had a 15 month layoff between her debut over 1400m in September 2014 and her victory over 1200m last month, but Nel said her problems were now behind her. She is in the deep end but he said in her favour was she settles well and doesn’t need to be handy due to her fine turn of foot.
The Brett Crawford-trained Alexis won last season’s Gr 2 KRA Fillies Guineas in fine style. Due to her good gatespeed and early pace, she should be handy and has a good kick, but she will find it tough to keep Same Jurisdiction at bay, having been beaten 4,4 lengths by her in the GR 1 Jonsson Workwear Garden Province Stakes over this trip.
National champion trainer Sean Tarry said the yard were still assessing whether Bichette had fully recovered from her 3,75 length eighth in the Gr 2 Sceptre Stakes over 1200m last weekend. If she takes her place, she should stay the trip, having finished a close second to subsequent Paddock Stakes winner Smart Call in the Gr 2 Ipi Tombi Stakes over 1600m at Turffontein. However, she will need luck from a wide draw.
The Dennis Drier-trained Eventual Angel was rated one to watch for the summer by Sean Cormack before he was sidelined and she proved it with a good win over Alexis last time out over 1400m, when fighting back, which showed she would likely enjoy the 1600m trip. She is well drawn in three with Piere Strydom up.
Entisaar was a Gr 1-winner over 1200m as a two-year-old and ran the brilliant Silver Mountain to 1,5 lengths in the Gr 2 Choice Carriers Championship over 1400m, so is another dark horse, although she is drawn in ten and her useful dam was speedy so there could be a slight stamina doubt.
Of the rest Fear Not has proved herself a progressive sort who can mix it with the best and, being by the excellent sire Ideal World, should have more to come. She has a fine turn of foot and can’t be ignored with Weichong Marwing up, despite a tricky draw of nine.
By David Thiselton
Clean Cut could be the one
PUBLISHED: January 21, 2016
Turffontein hosts a nine race meeting this afternoon and for those who do their homework the exotics could prove to be profitable…
The Vaal has a nine race meeting today and punters who have done their homework could reap the rewards of some likely handsome exotic dividends.
The second is a Workrider’s maiden over 1200m. The hard-knocking Minnesota ran on well for a good second last time over 1000m behind a well-bred sort and from a good draw should be able to stay the 1200m in this weak field under a good workrider. Chosen Al stayed on bravely over 1400m last time, having been forced on to the wrong side, and should earn here but doesn’t have as good a draw as the first selection. Great White Fleet ran an improved race last time over 1400m and looks likely to enjoy this trip. He has a top rider aboard but is drawn on the wrong side.
The second is a Maiden over 1600m. Masterofthestars has found some betting support in both starts and is interesting with first time blinkers over a suitable trip. Kanonkop has the ability and form to win but makes breathing noises which is a concern. Divar is interesting from a good draw as he did well when sent to the front last time over this trip at Turffontein. Seven League Boots disappointed last time but the form has worked out fairly well and he is drawn on the right side over a suitable course and distance. Coptic Cross has not done badly over shorter and should relish the step up in trip. He has a tough draw but Fortune is up which should help. Mississippi Rising is having his third run after a layoff and has Gavin Lerena up over a trip he should enjoy on pedigree. He also has a tough draw to overcome.
The third is a Maiden Plate for fillies and mares over 1600m and Tricia Dupont is an eyecatching sort who looks the one to side with from a fair draw, having been unlucky over 1400m last time when first fly jumping and then being baulked for a run before running on strongly. The hard-knocking Cosmo Russo will also relish the step up in trip and is drawn on the right side. Gains Tax, Dalley, Shelly, Eyetunes, Aesculus and Cambridge Choir could all earn but the selection for third is the first mentioned due to a combination of form and draw.
The fourth is a MR 80 Handicap over 1600m and Lock Him Up was a bit disappointing over 1400m last Saturday but should enjoy this course and distance and is drawn on the right side. Belenos looks promising and will also enjoy the course and distance but does have a tricky draw. Masnoon has come down to an attractive merit rating and should relish this course and distance from a fair draw. Raise The Red has come down to an attractive mark and Gavin Lerena rides over what should now be a suitable course and distance. Oreo Shake was unlucky last time and could earn with Fortune up. Crevasse can’t be ignored as he hasn’t been disgraced against stronger and has come down the merit ratings but he has a tough draw.
The fifth is a MR 86 Handicap for fillies and mares over 1600m and Peep Show is the one to beat having not been disgraced in strong fields in her last two starts. She is six points lower than her last winning mark on the sand but goes well on the turf too. Escudo is knocking on the door over this trip and gets a good draw off just a one point higher merit rating than her close miss last time. Cassie O’Malley is drawn on the right side and has been knocking on the door over this trip. Fortitude has a touch of class and over a suitable trip from a fair draw Gavin Lerena is a significant booking. Dover Beach is 1kg worse off with Escudo after beating her by 0,9 lengths and she has a chance again.
The sixth is a MR 69 Handicap for fillies and mares over 1600m and Nkomo should be running on strongly over a suitable trip, after her usual slow start, as she is well drawn. Allegorical is only one point higher than her last win, which was over course and distance, and she is drawn well. Hatfield Square looks to have promise and she hasn’t been harshly treated by the handicapper considering the form of her maiden win has worked out well, but she does have a tough draw to deal with. Dangerous Diva should stay this trip now and has Delpech up from a good draw. Wensleydale is under sufferance by 1kg but will likely be staying on from a good draw with a low weight. Peg O’ My Heart won her maiden well but this trip might be a touch sharp.
The seventh is a MR 78 Handicap over 1000m and Clean Cut could be the one to side with as long as he breaks better than last time and has more luck in running. Nevada won his maiden cosily and could follow up from a good draw despite a merit rating of 79. Salute The Sun is rated some 30 points higher on sand but from a good draw could be dangerous over a step down in trip which should suit. Gun Fighter is in good form and Lerena is an eyecatching booking from a fair draw, but he has a five point higher merit rating than his win over course and distance last time where he made breathing noises then. Katch has come down to an attractive merit rating and is well drawn.
The eighth is a MR 76 Handicap over 1000m and the well-bred Extreme Dubai brought his good homework to the course last time when stepped down to this trip, despite having to contend with the worst of the draw, and he is now drawn on the right side off a merit rating of a mere 73. Manx Park is in and out sort but has the ability to win this even off a four point high merit rating than his last success, so he has to be included from a good draw. Turbo Tom is reunited with Gavin Lerena, who won on him three runs ago over course and distance, and they are drawn on the right side having just been run out of it last time, although he is now three points higher.
Race nine is a MR 86 handicap for fillies and mares over 1000m and Seattle Lady has been in fine form, losing narrowly to two promising sorts in her last two starts, and she can go one better here from a reasonable draw with blinkers on. Drifting Dusk is a decent sort who is drawn on the right side with Lerena up and her best recent form has been over this trip. Cataluga is drawn on the right side over a suitable course and distance and should be thereabouts.
By David Thiselton