Quality renewal of Fillies Guineas
PUBLISHED: December 1, 2016
A quality renewal of the prestigious race…
The most intriguing runner in Saturday’s Gr 1 WSB Cape Fillies Guineas is the Brett Crawford-trained Australian-bred Quick Brown Fox, who has had two career starts, both over 1200m, and won both of them impressively. The big question is whether she will stay the 1600m trip.
Her sire Foxwedge won five races, including a Gr 1, over trips from 1100-1200m. Her unraced dam is the daughter of a mare who won two races over 1200m and 1406m respectively and who has only produced sprinters to date, including a Listed winner. So, Quick Brown Fox’s pedigree has speed and more speed bursting off the page at first sight.
However, her unraced dam is by Hold That Tiger, who won a Gr 1 over seven furlongs in France as a two-year-old, and later that season finished third in the Gr 1 Breeders Cup Juvenile over a mile and one furlong (1800m). He ran on from the back in the latter race and at the finish was staying on under pressure, despite having cornered wide. This gives some hope for Quick Brown Fox staying 1600m. She has used her electric turn of foot to come from off the pace in both of her starts and has won both of them going away by comfortable margins.
However, the list of horses who have failed to stay further despite effortless, running on wins over shorter is a long one. A top class sprinter’s natural speed would allow them to be in cruise in lower grade sprints and Quick Brown Fox has to date only run in a Maiden and a MR 76 Handicap for fillies and mares, where she ran off a merit rating of 82.
However, in her favour is she can be switched off easily, and this has been confirmed by jockey Greg Cheyne. Hopefully, this will mean she will not over race on Saturday. She also has the pole position draw, which should allow her to find a position for free.
The purists will be watching on with more than passing interest and so will punters as she has been backed in from 8/1 to 6/1 already with the sponsors World Sports Betting.
Another strong contender from the Cape is the Joey Ramsden-trained Just Sensual, who will be ridden by Anton Marcus. She is well bred being by Dynasty out of the Equus Champion two-year-old filly Consensual. She relaxed beautifully in her last start when cruising to a 3,5 length victory in a MR 72 Handicap for fillies and mares over 1400m carrying 60kg off an 84 merit rating. On pedigree and racing style she will easily get the trip, so looks the best value in the sponsors betting at 14/1. Her draw of 12 is tough, but being such a relaxed type it should not present an insurmountable problem.
Querari Falcon won the Gr 1 Thekwini over this trip as a two-year-old and did it in impressive style, having had to switch out wide on the turn and again in the straight. She has not disappointed in two outing this season and is duly the favourite at 33/10.
Sail, who was a 1,15 length third in the Thekwini, is a robust filly who always looked likely to come into her own as a three-year-old. She is not the easiest horse to deal with, so it was noticeable how well she relaxed in the running last time over 1400m when taken to the front. From a wide draw here she might have to try the same tactic and connections will be hoping for a slow early pace.
However, Red Light Girl, by Captain Al out of Thekwini winner Roxanne, might ensure a decent pace. She was unlucky from the front in the Gr 2 Choice Carriers over 1400m when jumping a shadow close to home. However, she was being reeled in by eventual winner Ektifaa and it will be even tougher leading from pillar to post on Saturday.
Safe Harbour franked the Thekwini form, where she finished a 2,15 length fourth, by winning the R2,5 million Lanzerac Ready To Run Stakes over 1400m two weeks ago from pole position. She looks likely to relish the 1600m trip as it took her a while to reach top gear in the latter race and she has an impressive stride. She has another plum draw of two.
She’s A Giver comes off an impressive annihilation of the Gr 3 Starling Stakes field over 1400m at Turffontein. She has a wide draw to overcome and travelled quite strongly in the Starling Stakes after showing good gatespeed, but on pedigree she should stay the trip. She is by Philanthropist and her half-sister by Captain Al, the 90 merit-rated Val Et Al, has won over 1700m.
The classy Maleficent, should have come on from her Starling Stakes run, where she finished a pleasing running on second.
The long-striding Final Judgement can’t be ignored as she did not have much luck in her seasonal reappearance in the Choice Carriers over 1400m but still managed a close up third and she now has Strydom aboard.
Thekwini runner up Dawn Calling ran a flat race over 1200m on the Greyville poly but now has her third run of the season over her preferred trip.
Lady Of The House has a similar profile to the one Elusive Gold had when winning the Cape Guineas for Brett Crawford three years ago, so can’t be ignored as she is a likely improver.
Smokey Affair also looks to be a progressive sort.
Whose That Girl didn’t have much cover in the Choice Carriers, so could improve, but has another tricky draw.
Captain Gambler went close in a MR 84 Handicap for fillies and mares over this trip off a 90 merit rating in a crawl sprint affair and this long strider looks to have plenty of scope so can’t be ignored.
Visuality’s disappointing effort in the Ready To Run Stakes has put a dampener on her chances here.
This looks like a quality renewal of the prestigious race and is not to be missed.
By David Thiselton
Falcon in a good space
PUBLISHED: December 1, 2016
Querari Falcon looks well after her long journey…
Saturday’s World Sports Betting Cape Fillies Guineas favourite Querari Falcon arrived in Cape Town yesterday morning after taking the 1 400k journey from Johannesburg in good shape.
Mike Azzie said: “She is bright and perky, looking upbeat and seems to have travelled well. She is in a very good space at the moment and in my opinion whatever beats her will win.”
The Thekwini winner has been bought by Gaynor Rupert’s Drakenstein Stud from Adriaan van Vuuren since her last run.
Legal Eagle, second to Smart Call in last season’s Met, heads the 27 entries for the January 28 Sun International-sponsored R5 million feature. He will be opposed by fellow Met entries Abashiri, Marinaresco, Captain America, New Predator and Black Arthur in the WSB Green Point Stakes on Saturday.
Whisky Baron and It’s My Turn both took a significant step nearer the big race when finishing first and second in the Market Toyota Culemborg Allowance Plate at Kenilworth yesterday with Greg Cheyne’s mount particularly convincing, really asserting in the final 400m to score by nearly four lengths.
Brett Crawford said: “I was impressed because he didn’t run anywhere near his 96 rating when he won last time. If they leave him below 100 after this I will keep him to handicaps. If they don’t, maybe the Queen’s Plate.”
Cape Derby winner It’s My Turn looked beaten two furlongs out after disputing it with the winner much of the way but he ran on again to please Justin Snaith who said: “He had only had one 1 400m gallop coming into this so I was very happy with the run.”
Saturday week’s Southern Cross Stakes is under consideration for Our Destiny after Richard Fourie’s mount comfortably justified 12-10 favouritism in the Macsteel Graduation Plate.
Fourie reported: “My main mission was to make sure she had her head down and was relaxed as she tended to over-race at one stage. But I thought she would win easily and she did.”
The Glen Kotzen-trained four-year-old is part-owned and bred by Ralph Rixon for whom Kotzen used to be assistant. “It’s hard training for an ex-trainer,”Rixon admitted. “I taught Glen well but he doesn’t always listen and I went mad when he ran her in last year’s Fillies Guineas. I thought it was too far for her!”
By Michael Clower
Mauritian champ in Sun Met mix
PUBLISHED: November 30, 2016
Mauritian Horse of the Year Parachute Man has been aimed at the Sun Met…
Mauritian Horse of the Year Parachute Man is one of 27 entries for the R5 million Sun Met to be run at Kenilworth on Saturday, 28 January next year. Initial entries include most of the country’s top gallopers who, if all standing their ground, will make for a fascinating race.
Parachute Man, trained by Ricky Maingard, has turned out to be one of the island’s ‘all time greats’ after winning his second Gr 1 in the Duke of York Cup.
“We haven’t decided on anything yet as we are not sure if he can go to Cape Town first in view of participating in the Met and not sure whether he would be invited either,” said Maingard.
Maingard regards the gelding as one of the best stayers he has trained and is hoping to crack an invite to the Met. Parachute Man is due back in South Africa on December 17.
Should Parachute Man make the field he will be up against two of the best in Legal Eagle and Marinaresco. They have yet to meet on the race course with Sean Tarry opting to skip Champions Season with Legal Eagle while in his absence Marinaresco proved himself a worthy opponent finishing a cracking second in the July and winning the Gr1 Champions Cup in the season finale.
Both have made pleasing starts in their warm-up for the Cape Summer of Champions and the Gr1 L’Ormarins Queen’s Plate will likely set their stage for the Met.
French Navy, off the track since unplaced in the Vodacom Durban July, is also an entry along with Triple Crown winner Abashiri.
Mike de Kock, who has twice won the Met with a three-year-old, has entered Bold Rex, third in the Gr2 Victory Moon Stakes, Heavenly Blue and Al Fahad while Justin Snaith has pencilled in Zodiac Ruler.
Andrew Harrison
First entries for the R5 million Gr1 Sun Met to be run over 2000 m at Kenilworth on Saturday 28 January 2017:
| Horse | MR Trainer |
| LEGAL EAGLE(5G) | 120 Sean Tarry |
| ABASHIRI (4G) | 117 Mike Azzie |
| CAPTAIN AMERICA (6G) | 115 Brett Crawford |
| FRENCH NAVY (5G) | 115 Sean Tarry |
| MAC DE LAGO (5G) | 114 Weiho Marwing |
| BRAZUCA (AUS) (4C) | 111 Johan Janse van Vuuren |
| MARINARESCO (4G) | 110 B Candice Bass-Robinson |
| MASTER SABINA (7G) | 110 Geoff Woodruff |
| NEW PREDATOR (4C) | 110 Johan Janse van Vuuren |
| THE CONGLOMERATE (5G) | 107 Joey Ramsden |
| BLACK ARTHUR (4C) | 106 Justin Snaith |
| DEO JUVENTE (5G) | 106 Geoff Woodruff |
| BARITONE (4C) | 105 Justin Snaith |
| IT’S MY TURN (4G) | 105 Justin Snaith |
| MAMBO MIME (4C) | 103 Dean Kannemeyer |
| BOLD REX (3G) | 101 Mike de Kock |
| CAPE SPEED (4G) | 101 Dean Kannemeyer |
| ROCKETBALL (4G) | 101 Gavin van Zyl |
| HEAVENLY BLUE (3C) | 100 Mike de Kock |
| ZODIAC RULER (3C) | 100 Justin Snaith |
| PARACHUTE MAN (5G) | 99 Ricky Maingard |
| DYNAMIC (7G) | 98 Justin Snaith |
| WHISKY BARON (4G) | 96 Brett Crawford |
| NEBULA (4G) | 95 Brett Crawford |
| AL FAHAD (AUS) (3C) | 94 Mike de Kock |
| ST TROPEZ (5G) | 94 Joey Ramsden |
| MACDUFF (AUS) (4C) | 90 Joey Ramsden |
Value about Thewaywemakem
PUBLISHED: November 30, 2016
St. John Gray saddles Thewaywemakem in the last at the Vaal tomorrow…
The Vaal Outside track stages a ten race meeting tomorrow and outside draws will be favourable by trends.
There are a couple of “penalty kicks” on the card in the form of the race two contender Alaadel and the race five contender Samurai Blade, but they are likely to be at cramped odds.
The Candice Dawson-trained Jay Peg filly Jameson Girl has been chosen as the best bet on the card and she races in race four, a Maiden for fillies and mares over 1000m. She has plenty of speed and Gavin Lerena stays aboard from a plum draw.
The downside is she was seen to be hanging inward last time out. However, she does not have a great deal to beat. Gunship made a fair debut behind a couple of promising sorts and could improve, so she looks the main threat from a good draw. The exposed Blazing Berry showed pace last time over 1200m with the blinkers back on and she looks likely to enjoy returning to the minimum trip and could earn.
The highest rated handicap on the card is the sixth race, a MR 80 affair for fillies and mares over 1600m. Inaninstant is the selection despite her disappointing last start. She has always struck as having class and she now has her third run after a layoff over a suitable trip. She will have the advantage of a 4kg claimer aboard and this might help her get over to the favourable standside in the lead, as she is usually right up there.
There is not much to separate her and Angelic Appeal on form. The latter has a tricky draw to overcome, but Marco van Rensurg is aboard so she should have every chance of doing so. Sisters Of Mercy usually makes breathing noises, but can never be ignored as she is capable of a strong finish. She has plenty in her favour as she is drawn on the standside rail and is three points lower in the merit ratings than her last win. She might also appreciate the slight step down in trip from her last few runs.
Nother Russia has inherited some of the class of her outstanding multiple Gr 1-winning mother Mother Russia and is another danger. It is her first run since March and she has a tricky draw, but she is from the Mike de Kock yard, who always have them fit enough and she is off an attractive merit rating of 79. Readyforyourlove has some useful form and can’t be ignored, although this is her second run after a long layoff and she has a tough draw.
The value bet of the day could be the St. John Gray-trained Thewaywemaykem, who runs in the 9th, a MR 68 Handicap over 1200m. The 1000m last time was a touch sharp and he couldn’t make much leeway in the closing stages when poised to strike. He now has a plum draw again and will relish the step up in trip. Furthermore, he has come another four points down the merit ratings. Tough old campaigner Flag Of France also has a good draw off a competitive merit rating over a suitable trip. However, the most interesting runner in this race is the Trippi gelding Dawnbreaker. On debut he showed a lot of pace from a plum draw and just got up. The form was franked and Gavin Lerena stays aboard off a reasonable merit rating of 74, but they now have to overcome a tough low draw.
One of the most interesting runners on the card is the Var filly La Roquette in the last over 1200m and she was almost chosen as the best bet on the card. On debut this imposing filly won effortlessly over this trip by 3,3 lengths. However, the downside is the time she recorded, which was not great and the form also looks weak. However, she won ever so easily and has plenty of scope, so it would be no surprise to see her follow up off a mark of 76 with Van Rensburg staying aboard. She will have to beat the year older and in form Shwanky, who is very well drawn.
In race eight over 1600m Aquaboy should have a good chance as a front running sort who went close from a tough draw last time and now has a plum draw.
By David Thiselton
Race Previews Kenilworth Wednesday
PUBLISHED: November 30, 2016
Kenilworth Wed Nov 30 Race Previews by Warren Lenferna…
Kenilworth Wed Nov 30 Race Previews by Warren Lenferna
Race 1
Preview: MOON PRINCESS has solid form and should be unbeatable in this race. FIGURE OF GREY returns from a rest but has the second best form but a very wide draw to overcome. MOONSABALLOON went close last time and comes into this race with strong claims but they should all battle to beat number one! (Warren Lenferna 1-2-3)
Race 2
Preview: LA REVERE makes her local debut and it can be a winning one. She returns from a rest but her form is solid and Delpech rides – a lot points to her winning. MISS MALBEC impressed when winning again straight out the maidens – watch. LIVE LIFE has a say as well – in a small but hot field. (Warren Lenferna 5-3-2)
Race 3
Preview: GREENFLASHSUNSET takes a drop in distance which I find interesting – he didn’t quicken last time when tried over 1400m so that must be the reason for going back in trip. His two runs thus far have been good and with Strydom up should be very hard to beat. ICON KING is now starting to become disappointing and costly to follow but always has a chance. (Warren Lenferna 6-2-3)
Race 4
Preview: MTOROSHANGA is improving and meets a moderate field today – hard to beat. SILVER MASTER is coming along slowly but should relish the good draw – place chance. CHINA EXPRESS has strong each way claims. (Warren Lenferna 11-4-5)
Race 5
Preview: BLARNEY BAY comes from a good and ever in form stable. He is as evergreen as the day is long and ran an absolute cracker last time. He is my firm and confident first choice. OVERSHADOW just keeps winning and is now going for four in a row. HE can do it if not in too much need of the run. DESERT FIGHTER never shone when making his local debut but he can improve big time today. (Warren Lenferna 1-2-8)
Race 6
Preview: STREAK OF SILVER (solid form), CREAM SODA GREEN (making stable debut and has ability) and TURBULENT AIR (either wins or runs unplaced) look to be the three main contenders here. (Warren Lenferna 1-3-2)
Race 7
Preview: MOGOSTAR won in the manner of a good horse last time. She is in Cape Town from KZN for a reason and must be followed. She is selected to win again. KIRUMBO is never far off the action and in a race like this can get much closer. SOWETO MOON put in a bold but late effort last time and based on that should make his presence felt again. (Warren Lenferna 3-2-6)
Race 8
Preview: WHISKY BARON is a smart sort, has more to come and should be very hard to peg back. IT’S MY TURN is rested but is well in and more than capable of winning a race such as this. KRAMBAMBULI gets 4kg’s off and could lurk into the quartet. (Warren Lenferna 7-6-3)
Race 9
Preview: ONE LIFE LIVE IT made a smart debut and can improve to go very close to winning – strong each way chance. HERNANDO’S PROMISE could enjoy the trip and might be worth including. MAKE A MEMORY is on the up and should be involved when the judge is looking at the photo. (Warren Lenferna 14-4-7)










