Let It Flow is a good bet
PUBLISHED: May 15, 2017
A Pick 6 banker has to be found somewhere and Let It Flow is awarded the role…
Turffontein Inside track has an eight race meeting tomorrow and three of the Pick 6 legs are fillies and mares handicaps, so some healthy exotic dividends are on the cards.
In the first leg of the Pick 6, Let It Flow is made the best bet of the day despite being up against two promising sorts in Think Twice and Dame Kelly. On debut Let It Flow was backed in at quite long odds, but had her chances severely affected by the winner jumping sideways at the start. She had to be checked and effectively lost two or three lengths, yet ran on strongly to lose by 0,5 lengths in the 1200m event. The stipendiary stewards overruled the subsequent objection. The Judpot filly could make amends here from a good draw over the same trip around the turn and Marco van Rensburg keeps the ride. On formlines, she comes out better than both Think Twice and Dame Kelly and has a better draw too. Both of the latter pair look promising and should improve from their respective debuts. Think Twice was only run out of it by two decent sorts on debut over 1400m and should be effective over this trip. Dame Kelly was staying on strongly over 1160m and has a fair draw here under Anthony Delpech. A Pick 6 banker has to be found somewhere and Let It Flow is awarded the role.
Earlier, in the first leg of the PA, the Sean Tarry-trained Querari colt Play The Night showed good pace from a difficult draw on debut in a decent field over 1000m down the Turffontein straight and found no extra late. He should relish the step up in trip and has a fair draw. He hasn’t run since that debut on February 7, but is given the tentative vote ahead of Pillaroftheearth. The latter has run second in both of his starts over 1000m and 1200m respectively and comes out better than the selection on paper, but perhaps does not have as much scope for improvement.
The second leg of the Pick 6 is a Maiden for fillies and mares over 1450m and three horses, Knysna Rose, Chapati and Grey Missile, might be enough for the Pick 6. Knysna Rose is a hard knocker over this trip. Chapati is a talented filly, but hasn’t run since September last year. Grey Missile is a scopey two-year-old, who will relish the step up in trip. All three of these fillies have fair draws. Key Hostess has some good form, but has a tough draw and ran below par when stepped up to this trip last time. However, she is by Fort Wood so could be dangerous. Boudica has run second in her last two starts over this sort of trip and is well drawn, but does not have as much scope as the first three selections.
In the third leg of the Pick 6, a MR 73 Handicap for fillies and mares over 1450m, Diamond Noir makes appeal as an improving sort who went close over course and distance last time. She now has a tough draw but Jockey’s-Championship favourite Delpech is aboard. Movie Award is well drawn over a suitable trip and has dropped to a merit rating two points lower than her highest winning mark, so must be considered in a weaker field than she has been facing lately. Burundi Bush is effective from 1200m up to this trip and is in fine form, so must go into the equation off a three point higher mark than her latest win. However, it is an open race and wider perms can be considered.
In the next leg over 1800m, Parisienne Chic drops from feature race company into an ordinary handicap and is drawn in pole over a suitable trip, so should go close. However, beyond her it is another typically open fillies and mares handicap.
The penultimate leg of the Pick 6 over 1800m is the most open race of the day, although the three that make most appeal are Fish River Canyon, My Angelface and September Bloom. Fish River Canyon has caught the eye before and this is her perfect trip. She has been chosen on those two grounds and also due to her merit rating having dropped to an attractive mark. However, on the downside, she has a wide draw to overcome. My Angelface has her first run out of the maidens, but as a Northern Hemisphere-bred horse she is six months younger than her contemporaries so should be coming into her own only now. She starts handicapping off a reasonable mark. September Bloom is improving in the typical fashion of a Lucky Houdalakis-trained horse and is interesting with first time blinkers on, having gone close over 200m further last time. Furthermore, she is drawn in pole.
The last leg of the Pick 6 and PA is a tough sprint handicap over 1000m, but three in form horses are well drawn, Le Tigre, Starcraft Prince and Roman Evening. They are the sole choices for the Pick 6, although cannot be considered confident ones.
By David Thiselton
‘Silva’ gives good July Value
PUBLISHED: May 15, 2017
The anticipation increases as the Betting World 1900 approaches includes VDJ ante-post betting [as at 12:53pm May 15]…
Vodacom Durban July watchers will be on tenterhooks throughout this week in the build up to one of the most important pointers to the big race, the Betting World 1900, which will be run on Friday night at Greyville.
The 1900 is one of the Champions Season D-Days for horses who are on the borderline of July qualification.
Justin Snaith has the topweight It’s My Turn, who finished fourth in the July last year. However, he was only in 18th place on the first July log, so will need to run a big race either here or in another qualifier like the Cup Trial. Snaith’s other 1900 pair, Elusive Silva and Prince of Wales, put in excellent SA Champions Season pipe openers in the Listed Sledgehammer handicap over 1800m. Elusive Silva showed showed a magnificent turn of foot to win easing up and is now joint-second on the July boards at 8/1. He only has a 99 merit rating, but was in 16th place on the July log. The winner of the 1900 can only get a maximum of a six point merit rated raise, so he looks likely to be one of the best weighted horses in the July. Prince Of Wales gave Elusive Silva 3kg in the Sledgehammer and ran on strongly to be beaten only two lengths. Snaith said he had come on tremendously for the run, so he still represents good July value at 33/1. Prince Of Wales and Elusive Silva have landed plum draws on Friday night.
Last year’s July-winning trainer Joey Ramsden has a fascinating runner in Macduff. He is merit rated only 89 and finished way back in the Sun Met, but he had some good 1800m form behind Whisky Baron before that. He won his only previous start at Greyville. That was in the Listed Darley Arabian over 1600m on the poly, where he showed a good turn of foot, He is as effective on turf and has a plum draw on Friday night.
National Champion trainer Sean Tarry runs the tough old front-running veteran Serissa, who should ensure a decent pace. He also runs five-year-old Hyaku and the three-year-olds Tilbury Fort and Copper Pot. Copper Pot has a good turn of foot, but has been found wanting in features to date. Tilbury Fort finished a good 2,8 length third in the Gauteng Guineas, but was way back in the Gr 1 SA Classic, where he might not have enjoyed the going, as he should stay the 1900m trip.
Geoff Woodruff’s Master Switch has come into his own this season, so should do better in this race than he did last year. His stablemate Go Direct has also come into his own in the typical manner of a four-year-old by Go Deputy and is a dark horse. Both of Woodruff runners have wide draws.
Three-time July-winning trainer Dean Kannemeyer runs Mr Winsome, who is a typically improving son of Silvano, but must prove he is as good against out of province horses as he is against the locals.
Gavin van Zyl runs the long-striding but continually disappointing Rocketball. He has dropped to a 95 merit rating and showed some signs of revival last time.
Four-time July-winning trainer Mike de Kock runs Jubilee Line, who is yet to live up to the regard he is held in, but ran a good race in a 2000m handicap last week.
Duncan Howells runs Ten Gun Salute, who was in last year’s July and has been said to have come on a lot from gelding.
Glen Kotzen runs Banner Hill who proved himself more than just a stayer when easily winning his Champions Season pipe opener over 1800m on the Greyville turf.
By David Thiselton
2017 Vodacom Durban July ante-post betting guide [as at 12:53pm May 15]:
13/2 Marinaresco, Al Sahem; 7/1 Elusive Silva; 14/1 Heavenly Blue; 15/1 Black Arthur, Saratoga Dancer; 16/1 Horizon, Edict Of Nantes; 18/1 Its My Turn; 20/1 Pagoda, Hat Puntano #; 25/1 Copper Force, Africa Rising, Captain America, Krambambuli, Zodiac Ruler; 28/1 Brazuca, The Conglomerate, Deo Juvente; 33/1 Prince Of Wales, French Navy, Master Switch; 35/1 Bela-Bela, Master Sabina, Nightingale; 40/1 Orchid Island, Secret Captain; 50/1 Liege, Banner Hill; 66/1 Nebula; 80/1 Ten Gun Salute, Bi Pot, Silver Mountain; 100/1 Safe Harbour, Witchcraft, Girl On The Run, Smiling Blue Eyes, Trophy Wife; 150/1 Jubilee Line, Tilbury Fort, Macduff, Bold Viking; 250/1 Royal Badge, Copper Pot; 300/1 The Elmo Effect, Rocketball, Fort Meyers.
Odds courtesy of www.trackandball.co.za and subject to change
Domeyer to see neurosurgeon
PUBLISHED: May 15, 2017
Domeyer’s old back injury forced him to call off his rides at Kenilworth yesterday…
Aldo Domeyer, forced to call off his rides at Kenilworth yesterday because of problems with his back, will see a neurosurgeon today.
He said: “It’s the old injury in my back, it keeps niggling me and it feels too bad for me to ride. I went to hospital on Friday and they suggested cortisone but I know that is not going to fix the problem. I told them that I would go to a specialist but unfortunately he could not see me until Monday.”
Daisy Fillies Guineas winner Gimme Six will return to Greyville for the Woolavington on June 3 and Jono Snaith reports that Turbulent Air will join Winter Guineas winner African Night Sky (Bernard Fayd’Herbe) in a two-pronged challenge for the Highlands Stud Winter Classic at Kenilworth on Sunday.
The closing date for entries for the Cape Of Good Hope Nursery and the Kenilworth Fillies Nursery, both on May 27, has been held over until this morning. There were only ten nominations for the former on Friday and just seven for the fillies race.
The virus that hit a number of Joey Ramsden’s horses appears to have spread to Vaughan Marshall’s stable. Marshall scratched all nine of yesterday’s Kenilworth runners.
By Michael Clower
Bravo Zulu can strike
PUBLISHED: May 12, 2017
Sam Mosia up and has the form to win the race at Turffontein tomorrow…
Turffontein Standside track stages the final leg of the Workriders Challenge tomorrow and this meeting always produces plenty of excitement as the riders vie for the title and the R50,000 main prize.
However, the quality of the horses on the day are not out of the top drawer and all eight races are maidens.
In the first leg of the PA over 1160m, Bono returns from a layoff since January but has the reigning champion workrider Sam Mosia up and has the form to win the race. Singaswewin and Bravo Zulu are the other pair who could be in the winner’s enclosure. Singaswewin ran an improved race last time and was finishing well. Bravo Zulu is only a two-year-old, but has faced some good opposition without being disgraced and the blinkers have been dispensed with after he failed with them on last time. Francis Semela, who won the second leg of this season’s Challenge, is aboard Bravo Zulu, while Singaswewin has the in form Goodman Dadamisi aboard. Dadamisi has won on five of his last eleven rides. He does not have the best rides on the day, but is a rider who is always worth following as he has a fine pair of hands as well as balance and horses run for him.
In the second leg of the PA and first leg of the Pick 6, Semela can post a win on Gotoluvher, who has the form to beat Playing Games and Fictitious.
The next race is over 2000m and pace judgement will be of particular importance. Two good, experienced riders, Charles Ndlovu and Sam Mosia, are aboard the two form horses, Subtle Force and Half A Bar respectively. Subtle Force makes more appeal as he is likely looking for this trip. Yes Dear’s rider Sebelo Siphika is not In line for the title, but he did finish second on her over 2600m in April, so this horse also has a chance.
The fifth race is competitive, but Ohio makes most appeal being by Ideal World and now stepping up to 2000m. His rider Siyabonga Mthembu had a win and two seconds in the second leg of the Challenge. Golden Gate Bridge was staying on over shorter last time and is an interesting runner with Dadamisi aboard. Houston Rocket, Zingana and Ali Bon Dubai all have winning chances too.
The sixth race is a weak event over 1400m and the superbly bred Lainsberg Blue has a chance to make amends for his losing debut, where he went off at 8/10. He is by Dynasty and is a half-brother to Trip To Heaven and the good rider Joe Gwingwizha is aboard from a good draw of three. He showed good gatespeed on debut and has a nice stride, but was overtaken in the closing stages and might appreciate the step up in trip.
In the seventh over 1400m Lady Lucinda ran a fair race last time from a wide draw over 1450m and now has a good draw. She has a long stride and champion workrider Sam Mosia should position her well. It is an open race, but Grey’s Delight makes most appeal of the rest.
In the eighth race over 1000m Phillydelphia has good gatespeed and pace and was tried in the Gr 2 SA Fillies Nursery last time. She was outclassed there but back in a maiden could keep an uninspiring field at bay. Music Maker makes most appeal of the older horses here as she has shown some ability.
By David Thiselton
Van Vuuren holds a strong hand
PUBLISHED: May 12, 2017
Trainer Johan Janse van Vuuren’s runners all have realistic chances at Greyville on Sunday…
Johan Janse van Vuuren, who currently has a small raiding string based at Ashburton, takes to the Greyville poly track on Sunday where his runners have realistic chances in all six of their races and a straight-line Pick 6, while unlikely, is not beyond the realms of possibility.
Crowd Pleaser in the Pick 6 opener is a progressive three-year-old who is no stranger to the Greyville poly as both of his victories have come on the synthetic surface. Back in January she simply ‘smoked’ home, leading all the way over the 1900m.
Crowd Pleaser was wacked eight pounds for that win which will make things a touch more difficult this time around against some more seasoned opposition but he has a poly master in Anton Marcus up and he could prove difficult to peg back.
Marcus will be aboard another Van Vuuren runner in Gasoline in the fourth who caught the eye when finding some interference in his last start at the Vaal before finishing second. Older horses tend to take to the poly and on that showing he could have the measure of Keep On Chooglin, going this trip for the first time, and confirmed poly specialist, the Brian Wiid-trained Racing Socks.
Marcus has forsaken the ride on the speedy Vine Street Star and a possible hat-trick of wins for the Mayfair Speculators filly to partner The Thinker for Van Vuuren. If his sequence of win, lose, win continues, he is due another victory although his merit rating is also on the rise. Bonnie Dawn from the visiting Louis Goosen yard, and Vine Street Star are obvious dangers.
Cathedral County hunts a winning hat-trick for Van Vuuren in the Track & Ball Gaming Handicap after scoring two effortless wins at the Vaal. Of concern is that he was reported to be coughing after both of those wins and they won’t be taking any prisoners when it comes to pace in this five-furlong dash with the filly Go With Flo under a postage stamp and the highly rated La Ferrari not short of early toe.
Another Van Vuuren runner, Doosra, has lost his way a little since beating the likes of Heavenly Blue and Daffiq early last season but although well beaten into second last time out, blinkers appear to have improved him a little. He will need to find his best form if he is to get the better of the smart and lightly weighted Palladium.
Cedrus Libani is the last of the Van Vuuren runners in the Jackpot Quick Mix Handicap where he will be up against it from a tricky draw in a field packed with possibilities. Top weight Breakfast Club is finally showing his true colours, winning both recent starts over course and distance, while Yankeedoodledandy, Archilles, King Django and Restless Rogue head a long list of possible winners.
By Andrew Harrison












