The Vaal Inside meeting tomorrow features a MR 94 Handicap for fillies and mares over 1400m and Emily Jay could defy the handicapper again.

This Jay Peg filly has struck as one with some class from day one and has come into her own this season, winning five times from seven outings. The key has been a drop to 1400m to a mile trips and her good turn of foot is then used from handy positions. She has a plum draw tomorrow, Strydom stays aboard and she is just three points higher in the merit ratings after her win last time out. Specialists over 1400m always have to be respected as it is an in between distance and Rouge Allure is such a horse. The excellent Lyle Hewitson will get the most out of her from the plum number one draw. Dame Kelly is a typically progressive  daughter of Dynasty and will make her presence felt, despite a wide draw. Those three should get punters through the exotics, although Noceur and Dame Elanor should be considered for wider.

Lyle Hewitson

The meeting begins with a Maiden Juvenile Plate over 1000m and Firdoas should get punters off to a good start.

This Mike de Kock-trained Bernadini filly showed excellent speed on debut over 1200m and was only just touched off. The horse she beat into third by 1,6 lengths came out and won the Grade 2 SA Fillies Nursery over 1160m next time out. Firdoas will also appreciate the step down to 1000m considering her speed, so is hard to oppose and will likely start at cramped odds.

The second is a moderate maiden over 1400m and Stop And Stare makes most appeal having not been disgraced last time over this trip in a stronger field. He would probably prefer further as his best recent effort was over 1800m but he is drawn on the right side and will be running all the way to the line. D’Arrivee returns from a layoff and gelding having gone close when leading over 1600m in December. He found betting support in that last event and started favourite, so should run well running fresh over a 200m shorter trip. Pachacuti could represent good place value as he invariably finishes well after being out the back and in a field like this capable of earning.

The third race over 1400m is tough but the vote goes to Silvez. This big scopey sort will be improving all the time and was doing her best work late last time over this trip on the Standside after being caught wide from a wide draw. She now has a low draw, which is favourable by trends and has the high flying Lyle Hewitson aboard. Rubix is a daughter of Dynasty and will thus be improving all the time. She was not disgraced over this trip in her penultimate start against a better field than this but she does have a high draw which might not be in her favour. Tortola beat Silvez the last time they met over this trip but there is now a reversal in draw fortunes. Sing And Dance is hard to ignore as she moved up well to hit the front over 1500m last time but then became a bit one paced. She also over raced slightly in that race so will relish this slight step down in trip. Tricia has run two good races in her last two but will prefer further. Poormans Lady has started favourite in her last two starts over this trip and has a chance if not needing it after a layoff.

In the fourth over 1400m Manitoba looks to be ideally distance suited and after running on well over 1200m last time will enjoy this step up in trip again. His draw will come in to seven if the reserve runners are scratched, which is not bad. Vicomte is capable of a strong finish over shorter and is interesting stepped up in trip. Tokyo Drift has to be included having improved with blinkers and the consistent Shortstop and Humble Addict, who gets the blinkers on, can’t be ignored.

The value bet of the day could be Kentucky Blue in the sixth over 1400m. This R1,1 million daughter of Dynasty took a while to get off the mark as she was either running over too short or badly drawn. She now has a good draw over an ideal 1400m trip and looks to have been given a lenient opening handicapping mark by the handicapper.

In the seventh Colour Of Light looks capable of making it four wins from five starts as she has pace and a telling change of gear at the business end over this ideal 1200m trip.

In the eighth race over 1800m Tigerlace is made the best bet of the day. She has shown signs of class and this progressive sort is ideally distance suited and has a plum draw of three.

By David Thiselton

Trainer Robbie Sage believes Coral Fever has been harshly treated in being given ten points for his Grade 1 Premier’s Champions Challenge win at Turffontein on Saturday and he said a tilt at the Vodacom Durban July remains “up in the air.”

The five-year-old Judpot gelding has a good turn of foot but he pointed out the tight Greyville track with it’s short run in required a different type of turn of foot. “At Turffontein you can build up momentum but at Greyville you need to quicken off the mark.”

Coral Fever (JC Photographics)

The merit rating changes are usually determined by the line horse which is chosen. Coral Fever, rated 110 going into Saturday’s race, confirmed form with the 109 merit rated Abashiri, but the handicappers probably decided the latter had been peaked for this event and had proved himself better than his merit rating. So they went back to one of the placed fillies, the 108 merit rated Silvan Star or the 112 merit rated Nother Russia to find a line horse. Coral Fever not only gave that pair 3,5kg and 1,5kg respectively but also beat them by four lengths and 5,25 lengths.

Coral Fever was raised to 120 and Abashiri has been raised to 117.

Coral Fever shortened in the July betting with Betting World from 22/1 to 16/1 and Abashiri has shortened from 25/1 to 16/1.

Sage’s Var colt William The Silent caused a 45/1 shock on Saturday in the SA Nursery over 1160m, which has unfortunately been downgraded to a Grade 2.

However Sage was not overly surprised by the colt, who had won on debut and then been beaten 9,85 lengths by Bold Eagle at level weights in the Listed Storm Bird Stakes over 1000m. He started at shorter odds than Bold Eagle in the latter race and Sage explained, “He had sore shins after his first start and didn’t enjoy his next start. I gave him time off to get over the shins and thought he would be thereabouts as he is a decent horse.”

Sage is thinking about Scottsville’s Grade 1 Tsogo Sun Gold Medallion for William The Silent. He believes although the colt showed exceptional pace on Saturday he will train on and go further in time. If that is the case then at this stage the tough Scottsville 1200m should be an ideal course and distance for him.

By David Thiselton

Tropical Hibiscus can start off punters on a winning note in the opening Itsarush.co.za Maiden Juvenile Fillies Plate at Kenilworth today.

Paddy Kruyer freely admits that he was surprised to see her run so well on debut – she was completely unfancied at 22-1 yet she was only beaten a length and a half into third behind the highly regarded Santa Clara who had the advantage of a previous run – and he is pleased with her subsequent progress.

Glen Kotzen

He said: “She hadn’t even seen Kenilworth before and the racing experience will have brought her on.”

Donovan Dillon’s mount has hardened from 5-2 to 18-10 favourite with World Sports Betting and has the advantage of being drawn on the wide outside. The penetrometer reading for Sunday suggested that the ground on the inside is marginally faster but try telling that to the jockeys. In the Somerset most of them made a point of making for the outside. Monday night’s rain might swing the balance but the riders are likely to stick with what they believed on Sunday unless and until they are convinced otherwise

The one negative about Tropical Hibiscus is her temperament – Kruyer said she has “a bit of a nervous disposition.” Second favourite at 4-1, and on paper the most likely danger, is Star Angel representing the Somerset winning combination of Joey Ramsden and Bernard Fayd’Herbe. This one has steadily improved in three runs and ran well against three-year-olds at Durbanville last time.

Next in the market at 11-2 are the Candice Bass-Robinson newcomer Go Snow Girl and Green Savannah who makes her debut for Glen Kotzen. Mrs Robinson’s juvenile fillies number some future stars so her’s has to be respected. Significantly stable jockey Aldo Domeyer is on the daughter of What A Winter rather than stable companion Profound.

The TAB Telebet Maiden Juvenile 40 minutes later is nothing like so clear cut. Shadowing, the 18-10 favourite and the selection, had Perfect Symmetry (11-2) two lengths behind when going under by a head in a hard-fought tussle with the Kotzen newcomer Crown Guardian but Perfect Symmetry suffered interference in the final furlong and so can be expected to finish quite a bit closer. Also Rock Of Asia (9-2) was only three-quarters of a length behind Shadowing and possibly has more scope for improvement. But note Sacred Night. This colt is another Kotzen newcomer and is significantly short at 5-1.

The Boston Rose was only raised a kilo for justifying favouritism in fairly convincing style on her second run out of the maidens and she can go in again in the Book Your Seat Handicap. The biggest danger could well prove to be stable companion Omega Force who has already been supported and is now favourite.

Magic Mountain steps up to a mile to take on older horses in the Betting World Maiden. She is 15-10 favourite but her outside draw spells caution. Hopefully Robert Khathi, deputising for the sidelined Richard Fourie, can overcome it.

By Michael Clower

The interrupted comeback of five-time South African champion jockey Mark Khan reached a new high when he sprang a 55-1 shock on Hero’s Honour in the South African Derby at Turffontein on Saturday.

Khan, 49, was forced to retire in 2010 after suffering injuries in a fall the previous year. To almost universal surprise, he returned at the beginning of this season in August but in October he hurt his knee so badly riding work that he was out for six months.

Yet he persuaded trainer Gary Alexander that he was fit for Hero’s Honour, had him well placed throughout and led a furlong from home to beat 100-30 favourite Surcharge by a length and a half.

Mark Khan

Khan said: “There were reservations about my rehabilitation but I did my best and, while I have ridden many Derby winners, this must be a wonderful achievement.”

Alexander added: “This is my third South African Derby winner and Mark and I go back to 2002, when we won the race with Timber Trader.

“I said to Mark that there had to be a question mark about his fitness and he replied, ‘I’m a professional – I won’t let you down’.”

Joey Ramsden, who was one of Markus Jooste’s most successful trainers, has had to work hard to fill the void.

However, his decision to persuade a group of owners to buy Attenborough from Jooste’s Mayfair Speculators was rewarded when Richard Fourie delivered the 16-1 chance fast and late to capture the country’s top sprint race, the Grade 1 Computaform Sprint.

Fourie said: “Well done to Joey. Attenborough moved so well down to the start that I felt it was his race for the picking and he did it in impressive style.”

Anton Marcus broke a wrist when unseated in the parade ring at Greyville on Friday evening and the four-time champion’s place on 47-20 favourite Legal Eagle (twice Horse of the Year and Jooste’s best before his sale) was taken by S’Manga Khumalo, himself champion on two occasions.

Khumalo set out to make every post a winning one in the 2000m Champions Challenge but his mount’s suspect stamina gave out well before the end and he finished only eighth.

Victory went to 71-10 shot Coral Fever, a son of the Sir Henry Cecil-trained Judpot, trained by Robbie Sage and ridden by Muzi Yeni, who said: “I was praying for a good pace. I got it and I always felt I was going to win.”

By Michael Clower

Anton Marcus, side-lined with a broken wrist, is going flat out to speed up recovery.

Marcus underwent surgery at the weekend to have screws inserted in the wrist and is not sure how long it will be before he makes it back into the saddle, although if he has his way it will be sooner rather than later.

“I’ve been reading up on all sorts of treatment to expedite recovery. Whether they will work or not, I don’t know, but I’m trying my best.”

He started intense treatment yesterday. “I’m going for four treatments a day. I started this morning at 9 o’clock in the hyperbaric chamber, at 12 o’clock I went for electromagnetic radiation. At 1 o’clock I was in the cryotherapy chamber and at 4 o’clock I’ll be back for more radiation treatment. Four treatments a day for 10 days.”

“Hopefully one or all of them will work, I don’t know, but I just want to get back as soon as possible. When?  I have zero idea.”

Marcus was dumped heavily from his Daisy Guineas mount White River at the exit to the paddock enclosure when the colt reacted to the bell signalling for horses to leave the ring. Half an hour earlier Marcus had ridden a tremendous finish on the Duncan Howells-trained Fiorella to edge out hot favourite Snowdance.

By Andrew Harrison