The Pinnacle Stakes race at Scottsville on Sunday looks something like a Louis Goosen benefit as he saddles six of the nine runners. But the Ashburton-based trainer is not all that confident.

“I may have six in the race but there are a couple of others in with big chances. I may run second and third.”

“There were 16 nominations for the race but owners want their horses to race and there were no other races for these horses.”

Louis Goosen

Goosen is not easily drawn on what his chances are, preferring to wait until the day of the races after his five-point check before committing himself so it is up to the ante-post speculators to make their assessments.

All of Goosen’s runners show tremendous pace, as one would expect in a five-furlong dash but best of them could be Winter Blues. The diminutive son of What A Winter is a model of consistency and only once finished out of the money. He gets a 2.5kg claimer on board in the form of useful apprentice Luke Ferraris and his claim could prove the difference between winning or losing.

Hashtag Strat and Captain’s Girl are both quick and have form over course and distance while Effortless Reward is no slouch and she too gets relief from the saddles in the form of four-claimer Jason Gates. Like stable mate Lloyd’s Legacy, she does have breathing issues but if right on the day is not out of it.

However, the trio on opposition are no slouches either and as Goosen has intimated the race is no pushover. Bottom weight La Ferrari has been knocking hard at the door for his third success and finish ahead of all Goosen’s runners in the Umkomasi Stake on Gold Cup day. He must be a big runner on that form.

Vision To Kill ran well below form last time out but is a smart mare on her day while Statute still has something to offer.

It is an intriguing race but forced into a corner Winter Blues is taken to get home ahead of Hashtag Strat.

The so-called ‘off-season’ is not for the feint-hearted punter. The fields generally consist of the battlers, sick, lame and lazies and those that are not guaranteed to hold form.

That said, there are opportunities for the astute follower of form and one runner that has been under the radar for much of his career is Cat’s Legacy. As a young horse, Alyson Wright’s charge promised more than what he has shown recently and the handicappers have finally conceded that he was not quite as good as first rated and dropped him seven pounds in the handicap from his last effort behind Silver Rose. He takes on much lower rated opposition on the sixth off what may now be a competitive handicap mark.

Escape Club in the fifth has not been that fortunate and earned a further three-pound penalty for her runner-up berth behind My Zinzara on the Greyville poly last time out. However, Dennis Drier’s four-year-old filly has only had four outings and has yet to finish out of the money. Given that she is still relatively lightly raced she may still have further improvement to come as expected by the handicappers and could prove the ‘right’ one in the where Rae’s Dyna Jet, Arizona Sunset and Marsala look the most obvious threats.

Many have taken the view that barrier trials are misleading but if one takes the time to analyse each trial in the right context then they can prove beneficial. Antigonus showed up well in his trial and Belinda Impey’s charge was only run out of it late behind the strongly fancied Celebration Rock in his race course debut proper. That was an excellent showing and he should come on lengths from that effort when he lines up in the card opener. Recent triallist Wendylle showed good pace and was geared down over the last 100m. It was a useful time and he looks to have a chance while Alfonsa Spagoni showed up well on debut after a good barrier trial and can feature over this shorter trip. Add to that Solid Gold who was not asked to do much in his trial but still finished close-up. He should prefer it a bit further judged on pedigree and could find this on the sharp side but he looks to have a touch of class about him

By Andrew Harrison

Nordic Breeze, only fourth over 1 000m last time, should be much more at home over the extra furlong of the Protea Toyota Bellville Conditions Plate at Kenilworth tomorrow and looks value at 3-1.

Her good run over this trip in the Champagne suggests she should be able to confirm the placings with 33-10 shot Goodtime Gal despite Anton Marcus taking over from an (admittedly very useful) apprentice. The Mike Robinson-trained mare has to give weight all round including 2kg to the selection and is at her best over further.

Anton Marcus

Made In Hollywood has already been nibbled at from 3-1 to 28-10 favourite with World Sports Betting and it easy to see why Joey Ramsden described the race as “too good to miss” despite the vaccination cloud hanging over the stable. On merit ratings she has 3kg in hand over 16-1 outsider Midnight Moonlight and a minimum of 5.5kg over everything else.

And it’s not just the ratings. In the Champagne she was only three-quarters of a length behind Goodtime Gal and two lengths off Nordic Breeze. She meets them on terms 8.5kg and 6.5kg better.  In normal circumstances she would be odds-on.

But will she be able to run up to her best? Ramsden wouldn’t be running her unless he thought she could but the after-effects of those vaccinations has kept all but one of the rest of the stable in their boxes. For punters that should be a tip in itself.

The bookmakers seem to have heard what they believe are the right vibes about Sovereign Spirit (by Dynasty out of the Woolavington winner Viva Maria) in the first and accordingly WSB opened her favourite at 2-1. The Candice Bass-Robinson runner gets a tentative vote despite being drawn on the slower side of the course. So too is Marcus’s mount Silver Plains who has already been supported from 6-1 to 9-2. “He is a very nice horse but the race comes a little bit too soon for my liking, “says Eric Sands. “He is too big for Durbanville and this is my last opportunity to run him at Kenilworth for some weeks.”

Levis Kuse won on three of his five rides at Kenilworth last season and accordingly 15-10 favourite Without Limits gets the nod in the Carl Greaves Brokers Work Riders’ Maiden.

The Brett Crawford newcomer Engage And Beware (Marcus) has been backed from 7-2 to 22-10 favourite for the St Dalfour Maiden but the experience of Richard Fourie’s mount Trip To The Sky may swing the balance. This one was slowly away when over seven lengths third to the highly rated Pleasedtomeetyou.

Fourie and Justin Snaith should also win the next with odds-on shot Magnificent Seven while stable companion The Boston Rose has proved profitable for this column and can go in again in the Infiniti Insurance Handicap.

By Michael Clower

The Grade 3 Spring Spree Stakes over 1200m is the main race tomorrow on the Turffontein Inside track and it is a typically competitive sprint handicap.

Splendid Garden has proven his current merit rating is competitive. This seven-year-old by Black Minnaloushe is a half-brother to Soft Falling Rain and he over raced last time early on when the jockey restrained him from a wide draw over 1400m. Therefore, he should appreciate the step down in trip and in fact his last win was over this course and distance. He is off a three point higher merit rating now but he was drawn 12 out of 12 in that win and now has a plum draw of three. Chimichuri Run is highly regarded and showed his class last time when cruising home in the Grade 3 Umkhomazi Stakes over this trip at Greyville. It does not matter how good they are destined to become, early season three-year-olds running off high merit ratings generally battle to beat toughened older horses and his merit rating is 108.

Chimichuri Run (Candiese Marnewick)

However, he should still go close as it is not a vintage line up and he is well drawn. Angel’s Power was runner up last year, albeit from a better draw than this wide one of 12. If the six point raise given to all horses in March is taken into account he is effectively five points lower this year and should be staying on. Talktothestars is a former Equus Champion Sprinter and is known for his toughness, so he might well have benefited from his six month layoff and can’t be ignored jumping from pole position, despite a tailing off of form in his last few starts. Clever Guy won well from the front last time over 1000m with blinkers on and this might be the key to him. The blinkers stay on and he has a chance if able to find a handy position without using up too much energy from his wide draw.

Tar Heel had a lot of pace in his heyday and should have come on from his last start, which followed a five-and-a-half month layoff, so he can make his presence felt from a good draw off a competitive merit rating. Premier Show is not finding his current merit rating easy although he could earn. Mujallad has a wide draw and is off a tough merit rating but he should be staying on and could earn. Finchatton has a tough draw and it will be tough as he would likely prefer further. Wrecking Ball has a lot of pace but is usually found wanting in the closing stages. Mrs. O has come into her own but won’t find it easy against the boys. Just As I Said has pace but will find it tough returning from a three month layoff from a wide draw.

The first leg of the PA should see Dan The Lad following up on his last win as he packs a strong finish and proved last time when winning from a handy position over 1160m he doesn’t have to be held up to be at his best.

In the first leg of the Pick 6 over 1450m Full Mast makes appeal as an in-form gelding by Go Deputy as this sire’s progeny improve noticeably in their four-year-old year.

In the next race over 1000m there is another horse who has come into her own, Mademoiselle, and from a plum draw she can make it a course and distance hattrick off just a two point higher mark than last time and a better draw.

The sixth is a minor feature, The Non-Black Type Ladies Stakes over 1200m, and the promising Pretty Penny is the one to beat. She cruised in last time by 4,75 lengths over this trip and might still be ahead of the handicapper. She was given the maximum eight point raise for that last win and looks to be running off a capped rating.

The eighth over 1200m should pan out well for the attractively merit rated Alex The Great.  He likes to be handy and there is not much pace on his inside so he might be able to find the box seat. Seventh Rule has good pace and will appreciate the step down to 1200m. He is widely drawn but without much pace in the race he can get to the front without using up too much. Furthermore, he has dropped to a competitive merit rating.

The Rising Legend can round up the meeting as he has some class and can use his fine turn of foot and sustained finish to mow them down after being dropped out from a wide draw.

By David Thiselton

Less than a month after finally hanging up his saddle, Piet Botha puts out his first runner as a fully-fledged trainer in the third race at Kenilworth on Saturday.

Maiden, Head Of The Pack does the honours, and comes into the bumper 16-horse event with form, boasting three places from his last four appearances.

“I’ve got him as well as I can, but he may need it slightly after four months off. He has issues with his back and knee, but should be competitive,” said the softly spoken former jockey.

Quarllo completes Piet’s complement of older horses, while he also has a sole three-year old and eight juveniles, making 11 in total.

“I am really enjoying training, although there are a lot of cost pressures getting things off the ground. I helped Glen Puller with the training when I was still riding, but it’s different when you are doing it for yourself.

“I am next to Patrick Kruyer at Milnerton, and he is always very helpful when I ask for advice. In fact, everyone I have approached has been supportive, which I appreciate,” he said.

– TAB news

All the recent rain in Cape Town is frustrating Eric Sands as he prepares his unbeaten Winter Guineas and Winter Classic winner Rainbow Bridge for a return to the fray.

Rainbow Bridge (Liesl King)

The Milnerton trainer said yesterday: “The horse is doing well and I think giving him the break was one of the best things we have ever done for him. He was supposed to gallop at Durbanville on Thursday but the gallops have been cancelled because of the rain.

“He may go in the 1 200m (Pinnacle) at Durbanville on Saturday week but I don’t want to race him in that if they are going to run him off his feet, and I don’t want to gallop him too close to the race.”

Sands has long had the Matchem at Durbanville on October 6 as the first feature target of the season for the four-year-old whose objectives, all going well, will be the L’Ormarins Queen’s Plate and the Sun Met.

Stable companion Silver Plains, the mount of Anton Marcus, has been opened at 6-1 for his debut in the Perpetua House Maiden at Kenilworth on Saturday. World Sports Betting makes the Candice Bass-Robinson newcomer Sovereign Spirit a warm favourite at 2-1. Master Of Spain, 18-10 in the finale, is the only favourite among Marcus’s six mounts.

By Michael Clower