‘Fate’ does it the hard way
PUBLISHED: October 29, 2018
Twist Of Fate would now be favourite to give him a third in the Forus-sponsored classic on 15 December…
Joey Ramsden has won the Cape Guineas twice in the past seven years and, if there was any betting on the race, Twist Of Fate would now be favourite to give him a third in the Forus-sponsored classic on 15 December.
The R20 000 bargain buy did it the hard way in the Cape Classic at Kenilworth on Saturday, overcoming the widest draw of all and leading throughout the rest of the journey to score convincingly.
Ramsden, landing his fourth Cape Classic in six seasons, said: “There is plenty more to come – he wasn’t fully wound up – but I was quietly confident provided he got across.”
Surprisingly Ramsden appears to have some slight concerns about the Master Of My Fate colt lasting the extra furlong in the Cape Guineas, saying: “He would win a Graded race over five furlongs. But I will speak with everyone involved. If he didn’t go for the Guineas he would go sprinting. That, said, though, there is only one Cape Guineas.”
Bernard Fayd’Herbe, whose enterprising tactics had many of the opposition in trouble some way out, has no such doubts – “This is a serious horse. We worked him with Attenborough the other day and we beat him. That was good enough for me and a mile shouldn’t be a problem – his temperament is good.”
But make a note of Cirillo. The favourite was having his first race for three months yet he finished best of all to take second with Lyle Hewitson reporting: “This is a proper horse. He will have no problem with the extra furlong.”
However there will be no Guineas for third-placed Pleasedtomeetyou who weakened into third, confirming Andre Nel’s original suspicions that this could be another sprinting Querari. Rider Greg Cheyne said: “He never hit the line and he had every opportunity of doing so. A smart horse but better in sprints.”
Majestic Mozart came from well back to take an encouraging fourth and demonstrate why Candice Bass-Robinson holds him in such high regard but the Justin Snaith runners finished a disappointing eighth, ninth and tenth. Clouded Hill, the last of them, had a valid excuse because Anton Marcus reported that his saddle slipped almost from the start.
Five of the last eight winners of the Western Cape Fillies Championship have gone on to land the Fillies Guineas and Clouds Unfold looks the one they all have to beat in the WSB version in mid-December after coming from well back to lead over 50m out.
The What A Winter filly was the second successive winner of the Grade 2 for Gaynor Rupert’s Drakenstein and the second for Aldo Domeyer who won on Silver Mountain and said: “She was impressive. She will really enjoy both the extra furlong and the longer straight in the Guineas.”
Candice Bass-Robinson will also run third-placed Santa Clara in the classic while the Chrigor Stud connections of runner-up Temple Grafin will be there too with Glen Kotzen saying: “A very good filly beat us here but it will be interesting to see how they both stay the mile.”
Canukeepitsecret (tenth) was a disappointment but the in-form Vaughan Marshall (five winners at the last two Cape Town meetings) said: “It wasn’t the trip – that is no problem for her. She ran flat and she was gone a long way from home.”
Brett Crawford, who had three of the first four in the Pinnacle, said that Undercover Agent will go Green Point, Queen’s Plate and possibly Met while Valbonne (third) and fourth-placed Search Party will stay sprinting with the Diadem and the Cape Flying the prime targets for the latter.
Strong-finishing runner-up Dutch Philip has the Merchants, Diadem and Cape Flying as his objectives after Aldo Domeyer reported: “I was very encouraged by that. At one stage he wasn’t going anywhere but then he found another gear.”
Finally 27 October will go down as a never-to-be-forgotten date for Piet Botha as Head Of The Pack (William Bambiso) gave him his first winner as a trainer in the Work Riders’ Maiden.
By Michael Clower
Jacobs gets cool on Winter’s Coming
PUBLISHED: October 29, 2018
…that door was shut in his face, in desperation, he pull off the heels of the traffic, switched inside and headed for the line…
It will be a long time if ever that apprentice Jabu Jacobs forgets his first winner. He had been close on a number of occasions, none closer than on Winter’s Coming when touched off by stable companion Q The Music last month.
That had been mostly a straightforward race, the winner just that fraction better. Many would have dumped the youngster but Byron Forster, KZN assistant to Andre Nel, kept faith with young Jacobs, although mid-way through the race he may have been having second thoughts.
Yesterday at Greyville it was a completely different scenario. Trailing the field by a couple of lengths for much of the race, most observers will have written Winter’s Coming off to concentrate on what was unfolding at the head of affairs.
Yuzae Ramzan, also hunting his first winner, had The Poet wide for much of the exchanges but struck for home in what looked to be a winning move.
Jacobs at this stage was in all sorts of trouble with a full tank of petrol and seemingly nowhere to go.
First he tried outside, that gap closed, then he tried the middle and that door was shut in his face, in desperation, he pull off the heels of the traffic, switched inside and headed for the line.
It was heart-stopping stuff but Winter’s Coming got out of the pocket in the nick of time and won going away. The Poet was game in second and Ramzan will have to wait another day for his first.
In stark contrast was the end-to-end victory by Storm Ruler, apprentice Jason Gates making all on Alyson Wright’s five-year-old.
The talented Gates has had many run-ins with authority and at one stage was banned by the stipendiary stewards from races around the turn as he was seemingly impervious to instruction, riding with gay abandon with no thought to life or limb, his or that of his opponents.
The penny appears to have dropped. He is no slouch in the saddle and if he can keep it all together he has a future as he appears to be natural light-weight.
At Fairview, Justin Snaith’s decision to let Magnificent Seven take his chances in the G-Bets Algoa Cup (Listed) in spite of the fact that any outside travellers to Port Elizabeth will have to serve quarantine before returning home after an out-break of African Horse Sickness in the area.
It was a calculated gamble but it paid off handsomely although it was a close-run thing. Richard Fourie produced Magnificent Seven with a perfectly time run but with local Wild Briar and Teaque Gould stuck to him like glue. The two fought head-and-head over the final 100m with the favourite prevailing narrowly.
By Andrew Harrison
Levelling the playing fields
PUBLISHED: October 26, 2018
To boost your success from the bottom of the ladder to the top – a 25 fold increase – requires 300 times more money…
A survey of racing success as a factor of how much money you spend was recently undertaken in Australia. While its outcomes were “Aussie” specific, it’s probably fair to say, they’re likely to have universal application wherever horse racing is conducted as a serious commercial pursuit. The answer, rest assured, is that the more money you spend, the more success you will have. The only problem is that the spending/success relationship is not a linear one. To boost your success from the bottom of the ladder to the top – a 25 fold increase – requires 300 times more money. But that has always been the way in most markets. Incremental gains come at a premium.
Or at least that’s the way it used to be. Until the “Ready To Run” concept of conducting racehorse sales was invented. You see, the Aussie figures are extrapolated largely from conventional sales, where the bloodstock is presented at the walk. Except there are no “walking” races, so to be able to pick them on the “run” as it were, opens a window of insight to the buyer which was hitherto denied.
And that’s where the difference resides, where the good “eye” for a good horse is often as good as a big wallet. It helps of course, if you have both. You see, in the South African context of the Ready To Run at any rate, there are countless examples of exceptional thoroughbreds being plucked from the less expensive ranks of the catalogue and going on to illustrious (not to mention very lucrative) careers on the racecourse. Naturally, success has come to those at the top end too, the beacon among them Horse Of The Year, Igugu, but the ratio of achievement among the “cheapies” has been wholly disproportionate to the results of the survey.
In recent times, the Emperors Palace version of the Ready To Run (which incidentally, is the original) has spawned close on 40 millionaires, the newest among whom have only just completed their three year old careers. They included three of the best of their generation, one of which, Brave Mary, fetched a modest R40 000. Doubtless as an encouragement to buyers, the sales founding consignor, Summerhill, has over the years punted the “value-for-money” proposition to its customers, no better illustrated by the annual issue of a list of its most accomplished alumni go to the “Hall Of Fame at https://www.summerhill.co.za/ready-to-run-hall-of-fame#ready-to-run-stakes-winners ”. Which is a rich reminder of the rewards awaiting those who are willing to work for them.
Bien Venue gets the nod
PUBLISHED: October 26, 2018
In the second leg of the Pick 6 over 1400m Bien Venue should be cherry ripe and is a potential banker from a plum draw over an ideal course and distance…
The return to the world class Turffontein Standside track starts with a low key meeting on Saturday ahead of the fireworks which begin next weekend.
A MR92 Handicap over 1800m is the highest rated race on the card and forms the first leg of the Pick 6. Silver God is a half-brother to the Grade 1-winning miler William Longsword and the speedy Grade 1 winner Real Princess but he is by Silvano and the way he runs suggests he will relish the step up in trip. He won over 1400m last time when staying on resolutely. He did have the advantage of the 1,5kg claim of Luke Ferraris to help him, but twice South African champion jockey S’Manga Khumalo replaces him. The Rising Legend has become well known for his turn of foot followed by a resolute finish. He usually sits in last place before delivering his challenge but last time on the tight Inside track he was ridden quite handy by his regular pilot Gavin Lerena.
He still won after going for home quite early. He is well regarded by Geoff Woodruff and will relish the return to the Standside track where he can afford go sit further back. The draw of eleven will not pose a problem as he can be dropped out. Orpheus is 0,5kg better off with The Rising Legend for a half-a-length beating last time. He is a big, good looking sort and it will be no surprise to see him winning this race from a plum draw. The only concern is the breathing noises he is reported to make. Piere Strydom stays aboard which is a plus. Those three should be enough to get punters through the Pick 6.
The Pick 6 legs are tricky and the last leg over 1000m has been chosen as the one to go thin in. Gimme A Wave is made the best bet on the card but this is really due to it being a tricky card and one has to be found somewhere. It is not the norm for Alec Laird horses to win on debut as he brings them on slowly but this strongly built gelding by Gimmethegreenlight scooted home by 3,80 lengths on his debut over 1200m in a Maiden Juvenile Plate at the end of July. Raymond Danielson keeps the ride and they can get away with a 93 day layoff over this trip. Royal Cavalier is another imposing sort and is chosen as the only other one to include in the Pick 6. He finished just 2,15 lengths behind the SA Nursery winner William The Silent last time out and should now be cherry ripe. Dewali was bumped from a wide draw last time out over 1000m on the Inside track and ran out of steam late but he has looks to have the class to be involved here and holds the speedy Vardo on earlier form. Big Blue Marble is well regarded and will have plenty of supporters considering the way he won last time over this trip.
In the second leg of the Pick 6 over 1400m Bien Venue should be cherry ripe and is a potential banker from a plum draw over an ideal course and distance. However, Gunston went close last time over 1450m and could make a bold bid from a better draw over 50m shorter. Rivonia Boulevard, Iditarod Trail and How Does It Taste can also be included in the Pick 6.
In the sixth race Dame Kelly has class and is interesting stepped down to 1160m off a lowered merit rating which now looks attractive. Image Award has shown ability over the minimum trip and is the chief threat and Eleni, Celestina, La Bastide and An Air Of Success can also be included.
In the seventh race over 1160m Concealed Secret has dropped to an attractive mark and could win on his reappearance from the improved Autumn Rain. Snow In Seattle, Tudor Manor and Baahir can also be included.
The eighth race over 1160m can be fought out by Professor Brian, who should love the return to a straight course, and the progressive pair Copper Jay and Schippers.
The first leg of the PA over 1600m sees an outsider in Pilou being tipped as he just went too fast the last time he ran and now has a plum draw, the blinkers are off and he has been lowered three points in the merit ratings. Atyaab and Morning Catch can also be included.
By David Thiselton
Clouded Hill to bounce back
PUBLISHED: October 26, 2018
Anton Marcus, who steps in for the Clouded Hill ride, has won three of the last five runnings of the Cape Classic…
Clouded Hill can bounce back from last time’s Sophomore disappointment to become a rewarding and potentially significant winner of the Cape Classic at Kenilworth tomorrow.
Justin Snaith believes that the selection – available at 11-2 yesterday – was caught a bit flat-footed when starting joint favourite at Durbanville last month. On his previous start he trounced stable companions Seventh Sea and Clipper Captain despite losing a front shoe. Those two take him on again but Snaith has an explanation for punters puzzling over Richard Fourie’s apparent choice of Seventh Sea.
“All three horses are doing well but the riding arrangements are bit different from normal,” says the champion trainer. “Richard is on Seventh Sea because that horse is our main hope for the CTS Ready To Run and he wants to teach him to settle.”
Anton Marcus, who steps in for the Clouded Hill ride, has won three of the last five runnings of the Cape Classic which is not a particularly good race for favourites – seven of the last ten have been beaten.
It was surprising to see Pleasedtomeetyou heading the market at 3-1. True, he is unbeaten but he only just got home against Elusive Trader (6-1 here) in the Sophomore with Lanza (17-2) fourth, and some of the gloss came off his reputation in the process.
Andre Nel says: “Pleasedtomeetyou is doing well and he worked well on Tuesday but his draw is a concern and on the ratings he is not well in.”
Tyrone Langdon, who rode the colt in Tuesday’s work, also rides him in most of his home work and was impressed with the way he went in that final gallop.
Joey Ramsden is bidding for his fourth Cape Classic in six seasons but, despite Bernard Fayd’Herbe’s enthusiasm, it’s hard to see Twist Of Fate winning after a three month absence from such a wide draw and at the weights. He has drifted out to 10-1.
Cirillo (11-2) has also not raced since the Premiers Champion but significantly Sean Tarry supplemented him. Candice Bass-Robinson holds Majestic Mozart in high regard but he is another who has been done no favours by the draw.
Marcus can also win the Western Cape Fillies Championship on the unbeaten Front And Centre who takes a massive step up in class but has looked something really special in her two races. “She has done very little wrong and is a very decent filly,” says Brett Crawford, hopefully with masterly understatement. “I am expecting a big run.”
Marcus can be relied upon to take care of her ten draw and the fact that she is favourite, at 17-10, is statistically very much in her favour. The first five of the last eight favourites for this race all won and the other three were second.
Snaith has won five of the last 11 runnings but 14-1 chance Juniper Spring has so far not looked as good as either her pedigree or her reputation.
Aldo Domeyer has opted to ride 6-1 shot Clouds Unfold in preference to Candice Bass-Robinson’s other four but the trainer makes the point that “Nous Voila (a huge price at 25-1) didn’t enjoy the winter going.”
Anneka (13-1) has no chance on ratings but she is race fit and the Sean Tarry-Lyle Hewitson pairing is a champion combination in every sense of the word.
Temple Grafin is, on paper at any rate, the best horse in the race and seemingly there is no need to worry that the 8-1 shot hasn’t raced since she won the Debutante three months ago. “She is ready, she is working like a machine and she will run right up to her rating,” enthuses Glen Kotzen.
Lastly, if you are looking for a good price, Canukeepitsecret is provenly race-fit and her form is better than it looks. Admittedly she is unproven over the trip but at 12-1 you can’t have everything.
By Michael Clower









