Justin Snaith, still basking in the glory of back-to-back Vodacom Durban July wins with Do It Again, saddles three proven stayers in tomorrow’s Gr3 eLan Gold Cup and although Do It Again will not emulate Space Walk’s July and Gold Cup double some three decades back, he has other strings to his bow.

Snaith has given Strathdon the somewhat dubious nick-name of ‘Matthew Lips’ after one of the NHA’s senior handicappers, pointing out that Strathdon has not won a race for nearly two years, his last win coming in an eight-horse race off a merit rating of 87. He now has a rating of 101 without having won a race since, a situation that riles Snaith every time the subject is brought up.

Strathdon has paid for his consistency but stable rider Richard Fourie has stuck with the gelding which speaks volumes.

Snaith was fairly bullish of Doublemint’s chances in the VDJ where he was heavily supported in the market, in from 28-1 to start 13-1 on the day. He was only four lengths back to Do It Again but runs like a horse that is looking for today’s trip and has a pedigree that suggests that he will be at home over the extra. In Anton Marcus he has a jockey who knows exactly what is required and this could be Snaith’s parting shot.

Frank Robinson has turned to currently Mauritius-based Piere Strydom to partner top weight Roy Had Enough. The colt ran an excellent race in the VDJ, beaten less than three lengths but it was possibly telling that Marcus, who partnered the colt in the Track & Ball Derby, suggested the Gold Cup rather than the July after that win.

With Track & Ball offering 5-1 and better the field there is plenty of opportunity and Brett Crawford is responsible for the 10-1 chance Gimme One Night who was a cracking second to Shenanigans in the Betting World 2200 on July day. Crawford has brought him on slowly leading into this event. He stays well, has a good draw and a handy weight which ticks many of the boxes.

There are plenty of others in with chances but Doublemint gets the nod ahead of stable companion Strathdon with Gimme One Night having the ideal prep.

One of the highlights of the afternoon will be the clash between VDJ runner-up Rainbow Bridge and the progressive Buffalo Bill Cody in the Gr1 Champions Cup.

Rainbow Bridge has done little wrong for Eric Sands except win this winter and rounding off his season with a Gr1 victory would be fitting.

With Hawwaam being scratched at the start of the VDJ, punters were denied the opportunity of seeing possibly the country’s best three-year-old perform against his elders but stable companion Buffalo Bill Cody has only once tasted defeat and cruised to a comfortable victory over the smart Cirilo in his only start this year.

Off the track for close on eight months with a virus is not ideal but Mike de Kock is a master of his trade and the match-up between two top horses is a mouth-watering prospect.

There are three other Gr1 races on the card, The Mercury sprint possibly an Equus Award decider in the sprint category and the two Gr1’s for Juveniles, the Premiers Champion Stakes and the Thekhwini Stakes for fillies are both hotly contested affairs.

A win for recent Gr2 Golden Slipper winner Eden Roc will cement his place at the top of the pile for two-year-old males but the filly’s category is not cut-and-dried with many of the leading candidates having coffin draws next Saturday.

By Andrew Harrison

To take a bet go to www.tabgold.co.za or www.trackandball.co.za

Aldo Domeyer is going to have a field day on his return at Kenilworth on Saturday if the bookmakers are right. When the early prices were posted yesterday five of Domeyer’s seven mounts were favourites and another was second favourite.

The favourites comprise the Justin Snaith-trained newcomer Peaceful Day (race 2) and stable companions Honey Pie (4) and Spirit Festival (7), Andre Nel’s Round The Horn (8) and the Candice Bass-Robinson-trained Sacred Arrow in the Pinnacle (5).

A spell in Hong Kong can improve a jockey quite considerably and punters with long memories will recall how five years ago Karis Teetan returned from his first stint there to win on seven of his 21 rides. Most of the winners were so little fancied that all except the last of them started at 7-1 or more. Judging by Saturday’s prices the bookmakers have not forgotten either!

By Michael Clower

His rowdy backers did not take the slightest bit of notice of all the black looks as they bellowed home 36/1 chance Justfortheepenny in the second at Hollywoodbets Scottsville yesterday. With only one behind him turning for home, the volume gradually grew from a hopeful cry of “come on Muzi” to a crescendo as Muzi Yeni drove the colt home to a commanding victory for Nathan Kotzen and owner Rob Haswell who had brought along an enthusiastic entourage to share in the moment.

Bred by his good friend Anton Procter, it was a sentimental win for Haswell as the colt was named in honour of his late wife Penny who was a pillar of ‘Maritzburg society and well known for her philanthropic work. A strapping son of Just As Well, Justfortheepenny won with authority, showing a sharp turn of foot which bodes well for his future.

Haswell is not one to shy away from a good punt and there will have been a few sighs of relief around the betting shops as Cumulus played second fiddle to Ultra Magnus in the seventh.

But Haswell will have known his fate early, as Brett Crawford’s runner put plenty of daylight between himself, Cumulus and the opposition. Ultra Magnus has had his fair share of niggles but Zimbabwean Brian Makwabarara, well known in racing circles here and north of the border, and partner Graeme Hawkins have been patient and things are looking rosy.

Gareth van Zyl will have taken great satisfaction in Noble Joshua’s victory in the Track & Ball Gaming Apprentice Handicap as Kabelo Matsunyane got the often difficult gelding home ahead of another not so easy ride, Legend.

“He is self-destructive,” confirmed Van Zyl. “He was scratched at the start twice before but we have been working on him and he seems to have got over that now.”

It was not an easy day for supporters of favourites and Bella Ballarina got the ball rolling in the first, Yeni producing Yogas Govender’s filly with a timely run to out-point the two more fancied rivals, Talia Al Ghul and Katie’s Treasure. The latter appears to be another problem child, Mark Khan mounting up only once the filly had been loaded.

Anton Marcus steadied the ship somewhat in the third as he scored on the odds-on chance Arizona Silk to give Kotzen a quick double. Up against winners at his last two, Arizona Silk franked the form of stable companion Kayden’s Pride and the Mike de Kock runner Alibi Guy, both runners on eLan Gold Cup day this Saturday.

Corinne Bestel has a small string but her runners appear to have an affinity for Scottsville with Blaze Of Silk doing the honours under apprentice Tejash Juglall in the fourth.

Serino Moodley made his trip to Scottsville for one ride count as he steered Carmella home for Mike Miller in the fifth. The filly was saddled by Craig Eudey. Eudey handed in his trainer’s brief earlier this year but has now signed up with Miller in partnership, the two having known each other for over 40 years.

Marsanne lost her unbeaten record in the Blinkers Bar Handicap but this was her first outing on a firm turf track, her two wins both coming on the poly, but she did well enough finishing a close-up third behind the progressive Linnear trained by Lezeanne Forbes and less fancied stable companion Wildly In Love.

It was a tough day at the office for visiting trainer Paul Peter who had a number of well fancied runners disappoint, but he did not go home empty handed with Corrido rounding off his afternoon.

By Andrew Harrison

Just like this year’s Vodacom Durban July, Saturday’s eLan Gold Cup has attracted a superior line-up of stayers, and fittingly brings down the curtain on this year’s racing season that officially ends on Wednesday, July 31.

The race was recently down-graded from a Grade 1 to a Grade 3, the grading committee taking the view that the quality of recent fields was not up to Grade 1 standard.

The Equus Awards committee have also added a caveat to the staying category saying that if the staying ranks were not up to scratch, the award of the country’s best stayer can be held over.

It shouldn’t be the case this year and Saturday’s winner at Hollywoodbets Greyville will be worthy of an Equus award, no matter who wins.

At first glance the race appears to have thrown up two or three standout runners, but a closer perusal of the form sees every runner in with a decent chance, from top weight Roy Had Enough to bottom weight Onesie.

It is a difficult race that stacks up a field of tough stayers in one of the best renewals of the famous race being run for the 99^th year.

Justin Snaith, still basking in the glory of back-to-back Vodacom Durban July wins with Do It Again, saddles three proven stayers and although Do It Again will not emulate Space Walk’s July and Gold Cup double some three decades back, Snaith has other strings to his bow.

Snaith has given Strathdon the somewhat dubious nick-name of ‘Matthew Lips’ after one of the NHA’s senior handicappers, pointing out that Strathdon has not won a race for nearly two years, his last win coming in an eight-horse race off a merit rating of 87. He now has a rating of 101 without having won a race since, a situation that riles Snaith every time the subject is brought up.

Strathdon has paid for his consistency but stable rider Richard Fourie has stuck with the gelding which speaks volumes.

 Snaith was fairly bullish of Doublemint’s chances in the VDJ where he was heavily supported in the market, in from 28-1 to start 13-1 on the day. He was only four lengths back to Do It Again and Anton Marcus could change his fortunes.

There is not enough space here to go through the runners but some that have caught the eye are top weight Roy Had Enough and the filly Dynasty’s Blossom.

One of the highlights of the afternoon will be the clash between VDJ runner-up Rainbow Bridge and the progressive Buffalo Bill Cody in the Gr1 Champions Cup.

Rainbow Bridge has done little wrong for Eric Sands except win this winter and rounding off his season with a Gr1 victory would be fitting.

With Hawwaam being scratched at the start of the VDJ, punters were denied the opportunity of seeing possibly the country’s best three-year-old perform against his elders.

Buffalo Bill Cody has only once tasted defeat and cruised to a comfortable victory over the smart Cirilo in his only start this year.

Off the track for close on eight months suggests that he has had problems but Mike de Kock is a master of his trade and the match-up between two top horses is a mouth-watering prospect.

There are three other Gr1 races on the card, The Mercury sprint possibly an Equus Award decider in the sprint category and the two Gr1’s for Juveniles, the Premiers Champion Stakes and the Thekhwini Stakes for fillies are both hotly contested affairs.

A win for recent Gr2 Golden Slipper winner Eden Roc will cement his place at the top of the pile for two-year-old males but the filly’s category is not cut-and-dried with many of the leading candidates having coffin draws next Saturday.

By Andrew Harrison

SA DOMESTIC HORSERACING POPULATION MERIT RATINGS ADJUSTMENT – 1 AUGUST 2019

Over the past few seasons it has been observed that a general decline in the Merit Ratings of South African domiciled horses was occurring, and that the trend has continued despite the “blanket” six pounds raise to all Merit Ratings which came into effect in March 2018.  This is particularly true at the lower end of the spectrum, where some 75% of the horse population are rated 72 and below.  The above observations were discussed extensively during the 2019 Handicappers Roadshow.

Effects of the Guidelines and Slippage Factor:

In large part, the problem of “slippage” in the overall Ratings has been exacerbated byHandicapping guidelines which were designed to severely limit increases in horses’ Ratings thereby ‘protecting’ improving horses and which in turn, as a compensatory measure, resulted in a more vigorous approach towards dropping the Ratings of struggling horses in a bid to equalise the Handicapping as much as possible.  This practice resulted in 75% of the Horse Population being rated below 72 thus causing an extreme imbalance (or congestion) in the National Merit Ratings Pyramid and consequentially to the National Race Programme.

Current Handicapping Philosophy:

Since January 2019, the NHA have adopted a more accountable and pure Handicapping philosophy by reverting to, where possible, assessing horses on their performance and not on other (often irrelevant) criteria as promulgated by the Guidelines, but the damage had already been done.   This current philosophy of handicapping horses more accurately in terms of their actual achievements should ensure that there will not be such a rapid decline in the overall Ratings again in future and, where possible (except where local operators conditions limit the Handicappers), a horse’s published or official Merit Rating would reflect the Handicappers’ assessments of a horse’s ability. 

National Horseracing Population Merit Rating Adjustment:

Accordingly, it was proposed by the NHA Handicapping team, and largely agreed upon at the Roadshows, that another increase in Domestic Merit Ratings be considered in order to balance the Population’s Merit Ratings and the Race Programme as well as alleviate any further degeneration of the Population’s Merit Ratings.  This proposal was ratified by the National Board and will come into effect on 1 August 2019.  It has been agreed that the Domestic Merit Ratings of all horses domiciled in Gauteng, KwaZulu-Natal and the Western Cape will be increased by 10 pounds.

Eastern Cape:

Horses domiciled in the Eastern Cape will have their Merit Ratings increased by 5 pounds.  This decision was taken in light of the Eastern Cape racing centre being a victim of the ‘creep factor’.    An Eastern Cape horse will be defined, for the purposes of the adjustment, as any horse domiciled and trained in the Eastern Cape that has had two of its last three starts in Eastern Cape.

Northern Cape and Zimbabwe:

The same definition of what constitutes domiciles will be applied to horses based in the Northern Cape and Zimbabwe, but no increase will be implemented in the Merit Ratings of horses in those regions.

Merit Ratings and the Race Programme:

This increase will have the highly desirable effect of uncluttering the lowest divisions as well as helping to boost the higher divisions, where races often attract small fields or fall away altogether due to insufficient entries.  Horses at the bottom of the Ratings’ spectrum will also find it much easier to get into races than is presently the case, where they are regularly eliminated or have no option but to contest races which are too strong for them.  The National Race Programme, as confirmed by the Racing Operators, will be adjusted to accommodate the impending Merit Rating increase and should ensure a balance between the Merit Ratings and the National Race Programme. 

International Merit Ratings:

It should be noted that the increase will only affect Domestic Merit Ratings and not the International Ratings of South African trained horses.  The International Ratings of South African trained horses are done by the World’s Best Racehorse Ratings Committee.

Handicapping Methodology and Updated Guidelines:

A Handicapping Methodology Guide as well as the updated Handicapping Guidelines will be published by the NHA on implementation of the abovementioned National Merit Rating increase.

Ends.