Everything points to Captain America when the big guns return for the Supabets Pinnacle Stakes at Kenilworth tomorrow.
The Gold Challenge winner and his Champions Cup-winning conqueror Sail South have 4kg (roughly three and a half lengths) in hand over the rest and, while fitness will be a big factor, Corne Orffer’s mount was able to win the Matchem first time out last season.
His stable companion has also been off for over three months but could be a big threat. He was receiving 2kg when winning the Champions Cup by a length and a quarter and tomorrow they meet at levels. He won this race 12 months ago but on that occasion he had the advantage of a run under his belt.
Only stable companion Black Cat Black and Table Bay have that plus point this time. The former, in fact, has had two runs but that is just about his only advantage – on merit ratings his chance is pretty slim.
Table Bay ran well in the Matchem but was a bit disappointing when odds-on over a furlong further last time. Significantly many form experts consider him best at this 1 400m but he has so far failed to live up to his Cape Guineas third, let alone the expectations raised by his brilliant Cape Classic performance.
Interestingly the TAB sheet racecard (on the Tabonline website) tips him and the sahorseracing computer has Lyle Hewitson’s mount finishing second to Edict Of Nantes with Captain America third. That said, the computer apparently didn’t consider Sail South and Black Arthur worth a run!
Edict Of Nantes is a cracking good horse who was only beaten a neck when third in the July but he has not raced over as short a trip as this since the Cape Classic in October last year. Horizon, only a neck further back when coming from a bad draw in the July, also needs further.
So too does African Night Sky of whom great things are expected this season. But his winning margin in the Winter Derby was way bigger than in the Guineas and Classic combined.
Black Arthur just might be the surprise packet although the emphasis is very much on the word might. He was fifth on his return in this race 12 months ago and he ran well in the July.
The Laisserfaire Stakes, although the name makes no mention of it, is a handicap so the advantage should lie with those with good recent form. Princess Peach is suggested from Anime with Nordic Breeze and Captain’s Flame worthy of consideration.
Finally there is Silver Coin in the last. The fact that Joey Ramsden sees only positives from his Durbanville return is a tip in itself and he is a big price at the forecast 10-1.
By Michael Clower