The handicappers always face one of their most daunting tasks after the running of the Grade 1 Daily News 2000 and Grade 1 Woolavington 2000 classics as the merit rating changes dished out have a big impact on the Vodacom Durban July weights.
The Stuart Pettigrew-trained Surcharge was a deserved winner of the Grade 1 Daily News 2000. Throughout the season this talented Gimmethegreenlight colt has landed terrible draws in big races, yet he still managed to finish second in all three legs of the Triple Crown. It is testament to his class and laid back temperament that those races did not take a lot out of him. He at last landed a fair draw of five in the Daily News. Gunther Wrogemann duly managed to find cover soon after the off.
Surhcarge produced his usual strong finish to beat his classy Highveld contemporary Majestic Mambo by 0,75 lengths. The latter flew from last in the running. Cape Guineas winner Tap O’ Noth proved he stays this trip by finishing a one length third. The Cape Derby runner up and Daisy Guineas winner Do It Again was a 1,25 length fourth, half-a-length ahead of White River. The rule states that the line horse shall not be further back than fifth in a Grade 1 event, so the handicapper has a choice of using 104 merit-rated Majestic Mambo, either of the 110-rated pair Tap O’ Noth or Do It Again, or the 108 rated White River.
As Do It Again earned his rating in the Cape Derby over this trip he is almost certain to be the line horse. Surcharge will thus likely go up to roundabout 112 and Majestic mambo will go up to roundabout 111. Tap O’ Noth and Do It Again will probably remain untouched on 110 and White River might be raised one point to 109.
In the Grade 1 Woolavington 2000 Oh Susanna off a 121 merit rating was a half-a-length winner from 108 merit-rated Fiorella, with 111 merit-rated Lady In Black a further 0,25 lengths back. However, Oh Susanna was having her first run since the Sun Met and was clearly below her best as she over raced in the initial stages. Lady In Black earned her merit rating when second to Oh Susanna in the Paddock Stakes over 1800m so is likely to be used as the line horse. Oh Susanna is likely to be left alone, but Fiorella could well be raised to 111. However, Miyabi Gold, rated just 85, could be given a hefty raise having finished just 1,5 lengths behind Lady In Black. Fifth-placed Roy’s Riviera’s merit rating of 96 could also be raised as she finished three lengths behind Lady in Black.
The handicappers also face a tricky decision in the rating of the Lonsdale Stirrup Cup, a handicap, as the 94 merit rated winner Made To Conquer was a neck clear of Strathdon and there was then a yawning 6,75 length gap back to the 100 merit rated Mr Winsome and then 2,75 lengths back to the under sufferance 80 merit rated Silver De Lange. The maximum raise for a Grade 3 winner is ten points and five is the maximum for a second-placed horse. It would be no surprise to see the front two both raised by those maximum amounts.
Oh Susanna is the highest rated three-year-old in the July at present and the highest rated older horse is 118 merit-rated Coral Fever.
By David Thiselton


