Silver Mountain looks a worthy favourite to beat her male opponents and complete a famous Guineas double in the Grand Parade version at Kenilworth tomorrow.
Aldo Domeyer’s mount has done pretty well everything right so far, she has a good draw this time and the advantage of her 2.5kg allowance – worth two and a half lengths – should not be underestimated.
For Mike Bass it’s a last throw of the dice at the only big Cape Town race he has never won. “Silver Mountain has definitely got more to do this weekend,” he says. “I would like to think she is good enough but obviously I’m guessing. You can’t tell from their work at home. Only when they race do they show you how good they actually are.”
Silver Mountain (Liesl King)
She is 11-10 (with Betting World) and 33-10 second favourite is the Dingaans winner Noah From Goa who has won four out of five and represents Mike de Kock, bidding for his fourth Cape Guineas and his first for 12 years. Is the colt good enough to beat Silver Mountain?
“That’s a difficult question but it’s what we are coming to find out,” says De Kock’s son and assistant Matthew. “She will be hard to beat but I don’t think she will be as comfortable as she has been against the fillies and the form of this year’s crop could be a little bit suspect.”
Brazuca (6-1) is the highest-rated male – although three and a half lengths behind the filly at the weights – and has won both his starts since going close in the Golden Horseshoe. Johan Janse van Vuuren sent him to Brett Crawford (successful with Elusive Gold two years ago) for the last part of his preparation.
The Selangor winner has gone on to take this race five times in the last ten and Joey Ramsden has won two of the last four Guineas, both pointers to 14-1 shot Hard Day’s Night. Agonisingly for Donavan Mansour, the draw-defying big race ace Anton Marcus is waiting in the wings now that Rabada has gone down with pharyngitis. A decision will be made today.
“I gave the colt a little break after the Selangor and freshened him up. He has done very well since,” Ramsden reports. “Silver Mountain looks exceptional and will be hard to beat but Budapest also impressed me. He put up some performance in the Ready To Run and he could be a major opponent.”
A line through Anglet puts Budapest (14-1) only a length and a half behind the favourite, albeit there are a good few ifs and buts involved. “Silver Mountain has the draw and the class,” says Gavin van Zyl. “But my horse has done well since his win and he has the speed to overcome his 14 draw.”
However the first seven in the Selangor were covered by little more than the width of a horse blanket. Victorius Jay (16-1) finished closest but the ones that really caught the eye were Nassa and Illuminator who both finished like a train. They are 16-1 chances and Andrew Fortune has already said that his mount would have finished closer had he had more experience.
Nassa would appear to be stymied by his dreadful draw and the gremlins have similarly struck 25-1 chance Eighth Wonder who was fancied and unlucky that day. Purple Mountains and Rodney were also close up in the Selangor. They could again finish on the heels of the placed horses but they don’t look like Guineas winners.
The 40-1 about Liege is almost an insult for a horse from the stable of the champion trainer and ridden by a former champion jockey but, even if you ignore his last run, his form does not look good enough.
By Michael Clower
