Super Silvano could be the answer to the Kuda Variety Club Mile at today’s quadruple-feature fixture at Kenilworth.
There is precious little to choose between the pair on their running in February and on adjusted ratings they have a bit in hand over Cane Lime ‘N Soda, and a minimum of 4-5kg over everything else.
Silver Host showed much improved form to beat Super Silvano two and a quarter lengths in the Politician but proved a disappointing favourite in the Cape Derby and, although the stipes ordered a veterinary examination, nothing showed up. “The Politician was a hard race and it flattened Silver Host for the Derby which was only three weeks later,” explains Justin Snaith. “He is much better now and I think he will run well although he may find it a bit on the short side. He is a nice horse and this race will decide whether he comes up to Durban.”
Super Silvano, third in the Cape Derby, could also find the mile on the short side but he receives a kilo and is 2.5kg better with his rival on Politician form. At 33-10 this Brett Crawford runner is a decent price and he gets the vote.
But watch out for 5-1 shot Katak who has won both his starts, has the advantage of Aldo Domeyer and is almost certainly still on the upgrade. “It’s still early days but I rate him and he is very well at the moment,” says Piet Steyn. “He is stepping up in class and this will show how good he is.”
Erik The Red, winner of his last three, should be the answer to the Kuda Somerset but his 1-3 price hardly makes him a betting proposition. Many of the most successful punters over the years have made it a golden rule never to bet at odds-on and personally I believe that life is too short to back horses at 1-3. You need to have four consecutive winners to show a profit betting on horses at that price.
No reason why the Snaith horse shouldn’t win – indeed, it will be a shock if he doesn’t – but Matthew The King at 15-2 is a much more appealing bet. He impressed when winning first time out at Durbanville in March, receives 4kg and has been working nicely. “I see they don’t give him a hope in hell but he is a very nice horse, albeit an unknown quantity,” says Greg Ennion. “He is doing well and he went well when I galloped him last week.”
The stats point to an upset – Armando 12 months ago was the first favourite to win this race in five years. His stable is represented by 14-1 outsider Futura’s Hope. Vaughan Marshall often has his two-year-olds ready to win first time so, if you fancy Freedom Park at 10-1, don’t be put off. He and Futura’s Hope receive 2kg from the selection and a whopping 6kg from the favourite.
The in-form Candice Bass-Robinson has won two of the last three runnings of the Kudex Perfect Promise Sprint and she can collect again, this time with Lemon Delight whose debut win was far more impressive than the half-length verdict might suggest.
The danger to the 33-10 shot could well be Captain’s Ransom who showed phenomenal finishing speed on debut at Durbanville and her stable has won this race twice in the last four seasons.
Race 5: Matthew The King
Race 6: Lemon Delight
Race 8: Super Silvano
By Michael Clower
Featured Image: Aldo Domeyer rides Katak at Kenilworth racecourse today