Sarah back against her peers

PUBLISHED: 10 July 2019

Ronnie's Candy (JC Photographics)

The Vaal straight course stages an eight race meeting tomorrow and there are one or two opportunities for punters. 

In the first over 1000m, Sarah has won easily in her last two starts against her own gender and is the one to beat for the flying Paul Peter yard. The Tobie Spies yard are also in form and facile Flamingo Park debut winner True Charm could be a danger. 

In the second over 1000m, Dublin Quays is the one to beat as his debut win has worked out well and Marcus is now up. He can beat Astrix and De La Cruz.

Ronnie's Candy (JC Photographics)
Ronnie’s Candy (JC Photographics)

The third over 1000m is likely to be contested by first-timers. The best of those to have raced is Rainbow Haze, who ran on over 1000m on debut in a fair field and was not disgraced. However, Scarlet Tiger is tipped to win. This first-timer is by Captain Al and is a half-sister to Mela Stregata, who was expensively purchased and has speed and talent but has hitherto been disappointing. The other first-timers to consider could be Pachal’s Samore, who is by promising new sire Vercingetorix out of a four time-winning Victory Moon mare from 1200-1400m, Musaytara, who is by Var out of the Grade 2 Debutante runner up Dijla (Elusive Quality), although the latter has not produced a winner yet, and Sasskia, who is by Master Of My Fate out of a one-time winning Dubawi mare.

The fourth over 1600m should be a duel between On My Mind and Blue Spark and the former is given the nod as one who has more experience and better time figures.

In the fifth over 1600m Ronnie’s Candy is talented and is well in at the weights. She has the ability to easily beat this field but this is her first run after a suspension for epistaxis. Scent Of Evening has beaten Ronnie’s Candy before over 1400m at level weights so must have a shout receiving 3kg here. However, Ronnie’s Candy was likely using that aforementioned race as a preparation. Furthermore, Scent Of Evening, although undoubtedly talented does have issues. So Pretty Border might also have to be included in the Pick 6 and Jackpot.   

In the sixth race over 1600m Zabarjad won his maiden easily over this trip last time. It was an improved performance and he looks capable of progressing off his opening handicap mark of 69. Gavin Lerena is an eyecatching booking although it won’t be easy carrying topweight. Oh Yeah will appreciate the step up in trip and has been dropped two points after his disappointing handicap debut. He is capable of better than that last run. Riga D’Oro ran a fair race first time out the maidens last time over this trip at Scottsville and could earn. However, many others will have to be considered if Zabarjad is not bankered. 

In the seventh over 1400m Monopolize ran a flat race in his second run after a layoff over 1200m last time. Over this ideal trip he should bounce back. Greenwood Drive will be dangerous from the front and proved last time this trip is not too sharp for him. Rocky Night also represents the Peter yard and should enjoy this course and distance from a middle draw, Count Tassilo beat both Greenwood Drive and Rocky Night last time over 1450m and this six-year-old Silvano gelding has won over the course and distance before. Nordic Rebel enjoys this course and distance and has dropped to a competitive mark.         

In the last race over 1200m the two-year-old Lighthearted is an imposing sort and could not find a gap when appearing to be travelling well last time over this trip and this followed a good win over 1000m. He represents the flying Paul Peter yard and should be in the shake up. However, he does have a big weight and a high draw and it remains to be seen which draws will be favourable on the day. Steffi’s Graft has a lot of natural speed and probably found the 1400m a touch beyond her last time. Back over this trip she must have a shout and in that last race over 1400m a low drawn horse won so the number one draw here should not be a disadvantage. Pretty Jolly moved up well over 1400m last time but found no extra late and she might appreciate the step down in trip. Baahir can go close if repeating his penultimate run, although he did disappoint last time. Category Four was not disgraced over 1000m over the weekend and should appreciate the step up in trip.

By David Thiselton