Durbanville Tuesday Tips and Race Previews by Warren Lenferna

Race 1
Preview: The two year old JOSEPH JAGGER (7) improved encouragingly in his second start and could be too good for this bunch and has therefore been made the confident first choice. PETER PAUL RUBENS (2) has been a touch disappointing and is a bit erratic – he has a chance on his penultimate effort but is not one to go mad on. THE BLUES (1) is coming along and should win his maiden soon. (Warren Lenferna 7-2-1)

Race 2
Preview: COMMANDING QUEEN (10) is coming along with racing and now gets the services of title chasing Muzi Yeni. She should run well here and is given solid each way claims. IT’S MY LIFE (1) has seldom been far off the action thus far and can go very close and WHISKY TANGO (13) has scope to improve over the mile. (Warren Lenferna 10-1-13)

Race 3
Preview: DEPOSITION (2) has had ten bites at the cherry, he has finished second in his last two races – if he cannot win today, then he might battle going forward! I am giving him another chance and confidently selecting him to win his maiden today. I am expecting plenty of cheek from WINTER SHADOW (1) – he is the exacta selection. HEAD BOY (3) has a very strong place chance. (Warren Lenferna 2-1-3)

Race 4
Preview: KAWAKAMI (2) now gets the services of the Snaith stable rider, Richard Fourie – fresh off his big win in the Vodacom Durban July aboard Do It Again. This filly is drawn well and finished a close up third last time. She rates the one they all have to beat. INDIAN SONG (3) is holding form and is to be as always taken seriously – her chances are bright. AFTER GLOW (4) is a natural inclusion in the quartet. (Warren Lenferna 2-3-4)

Race 5
Preview: BEN-HUR (2) has solid form and has run behind some talented sorts recently – he starts from a neat draw and should be very competitive here and has therefore been made the first choice. CLOUDED HILL (1) gets top weight and the deepest draw (in a small field) which will not help his cause – in saying that, he has run against some very strong opposition and should be able to get into the first three here. DYNAMITE JACK (5) is a must for the quartet. (Warren Lenferna 2-1-5)

Race 6
Preview: SNOWY MOUNTAIN (1) ran a very close up third last time behind Retro Effect – this was his best post maiden performance thus far which is rather encouraging going forward. He is by no means a “good thing” but has been made the first selection and looks to be the one they all have to peg back. MAGIC MARY (6) was narrowly denied justifying favouritism last time and although taking on the boys here, gets the services of visiting jockey Keagan De Melo, has to be respected. She can go close. SIX DEGREES (3) is one for the shortlist. (Warren Lenferna 1-6-3)

Race 7
Preview: The striking grey gelding DALIBHUNGA (5) caught the eye in his comeback run last time when nearly winning. He should have tightened up nicely from that race and looks to be very hard to beat today. AFRICAN VICTORY (2) showed last time when bouncing back into the winner’s enclosure that he is far from done for just yet. He has ability and if he were to win again it would come as no shock at all. NASTY HARRY (4) has a strong place chance. (Warren Lenferna 5-2-4)

Race 8
Preview: Apprentice Sandile Mbhele has built up a strong relationship with RACINE (3) recently. This daughter of Sail From Seattle from the Vaughan Marshall yard is doing well and has bright winning claims. SPIRIT FESTIVAL (2) looks to be the horse to beat – she is in good and winning form – her last win was good. REBELS SPIRIT (11) could be the place value in the race – include in the trifecta and quartet. (Warren Lenferna 3-2-11)

The various national championships have become clearer over the last couple of weeks and it will be a surprise if there is an upheaval in any of the major ones.

In the jockeys championship both Lyle Hewitson and his nearest rival Muzi Yeni rode at every meeting in the past week. Hewitson accumulated eleven winners, including a treble at Fairview on Friday, while Yeni only rode five winners. Anton Marcus only had four rides during the week and had one winner. Hewitson is consequently on 211 winners, 12 clear of Yeni on 199 and 28 clear of Marcus, who is on 183. WSB were 1/11 on Hewitson, 9/2 on Yeni and 25/1 on Marcus yesterday morning.

In the trainer’s champions Sean Tarry increased his lead during the week. The log was last updated at 16h38 on Saturday and Tarry was on R24,830,200, Justin Snaith was on R22,579,463 and Mike de Kock was on R22,354,563. Snaith has to make up a leeway of 2,250,737 according to those figures and De Kock has to make up a leeway of 2,475,637. There is only one big meeting left, Gold Cup day, where there are ten feature races. Snaith has eleven horses entered in the features on that day and in the unlikely event they score a perfect return they will accumulate R2,568,750.

De Kock has twelve entries, although effectively only eleven as Frosted Gold is entered in both the Grade 1 Premier’s Champion Stakes and the Grade 1 Mercury Sprint. His perfect return which would have to include Frosted Gold running in the Mercury and finishing in the top two would net him R3,198,750. So it is possible for either De Kock or Snaith to catch Tarry but unlikely especially considering Tarry has 23 entries in the features on the day and is unlikely to go home empty handed. Hollywoodbets make Tarry a 0,08/1 shot, De Kock a 5/1 chance and have defending champion Snaith at 10/1.

In the apprentice championship Luke Ferraris had two winners during the week to his nearest rival Dennis Schwarz’s one. Ferraris’s 79 winners are 18 clear of Schwarz’s 61.

The Breeders championship has been wrapped up by the Mary Slack and Jessica Gell-owned Wilgerbosdrift and Mauritzfontein Stud breeding operation. Slack and Gell are Harry and Bridget Oppenheimer’s daughter and granddaughter respectively and by all accounts this will be the first time the Oppenheimer family have won the championship. It is long overdue as they have done an enormous amount for South African racing.

Maine Chance Farm’s stallion Silvano will be the champion sire for the fourth time. Seven-times national champion sire Jet Master will be champion damsire for the first time. The important Freshman sire title is wide open. Captain Of All (Captain Al) has had 12 winners of 14 races for R1,635,525 in stakes, Vercingetorix (Silvano) has had eleven winners of 17 races for R1,376,425 in stakes and Soft Falling Rain has had 12 winners of 14 races for R1,130,125 in stakes. The title is decided by stakes money.

Chris van Niekerk is almost R3 million clear of Sheikh Hamdan Bin Rashid Al Maktoum in the owners championships. Do It Again is likely to be crowned Equus Horse Of The Year, having won three ‘Grade 1s, the Vodacom Durban July, the Rising Sun Gold Challenge and the L’Ormarins Queen’s Plate, as well as the Grade 2 Green Point Stakes. In his only other run he finished second in the Grade 1 Sun Met. However, he has not earned the most stakes for the season. Hawwaam, who also won three Grade 1s, has earned R5,628,125 to Do It Again’s R5,102,500.

By David Thiselton

Justin Snaith will have a strong hand in the Grade 1 eLan Gold Cup with the ruling ante-post favourite Strathdon as well as Doublemint and Made To Conquer.

Snaith quipped, “Strathdon is going for world record of days without a win (588)!”

He continued, “This was the best my horses have pulled up out of the Vodacom Durban July day for years and they are well, although I wasn’t happy with all of their runs.”

Made To Conquer was one of the horses he was unhappy with and felt his July preparation had been affected by a couple of hiccups at the July gallops.

He said, “Things didn’t go his way in his July gallop.”

Snaith said there was a delay caused by the trainers not galloping in the specified order and Made To Conquer began sweating in the parade ring while ringing around waiting.

He said, “By the time he had finished he was dripping sweat and was not the same after that in my opinion. I thought I had him right but he wasn’t. So I thought the gallops affected him but when I saw it happening there was nothing much I could do.”

He was also disappointed with Doublemint’s July run and said, “Unfortunately he got caught three wide without cover. You can run three wide in the July but you must have something in front of you. He never settled, so a little bit of a wide draw, bad luck and that was his chances all gone.”

Snaith said about Doublemint staying the Gold Cup trip of 3200m, “To be honest in South Africa staying races are not strong, so he does not need to stay, if he is a 2400m horse that’s good enough for the Gold Cup. You don’t have to be any stronger than that. What does always worry me is the Jo’burg horses carrying 52kg and being full of oxygen from the high altitude training. That is more my worry. It has been a disappointing season for Doublemint and Made To Conquer so why not give them a chance in the Gold Cup and see how they go and then decide their futures from there. Doublemint will be gelded after the Gold Cup.”

Snaith has the favourite in the Grade 1 Mercury Sprint over 1200m, Kasimir, and said he had been doing very well. He also has Snowdance entered in the Mercury.

He said, “Kasimir just needed his last run. They denied him a gallop at Greyville so we had to use that last race as a prep. He will have come on a lot from that. Snowdance might also take her place. We are going to decide also whether she will still race again next year.”

Snaith will not be contesting any of the two-year-old events on Gold Cup day but will have a strong hand in the Grade 2 Gold Bracelet over 2000m with July fifth-placed Miyabi Gold, Grade 1 Woolavington 2000 winner Silvano’s Pride and Listed East Cape Oaks winner Madonna.

By David Thiselton

Rainbow Bridge, 16-10 favourite with the sponsors for Saturday week’s World Sports Betting Champions Cup, has yet to be confirmed a runner and punters might want to hold their fire until a final decision is made.

Eric Sands said on Saturday: “He was off his manger for a couple of days after the Vodacom Durban July and, although he was trotting sound, he had a little bit of warmth in one joint.

“He is fine now but I am only going to run him in the Champions Cup if everything is 100%. He is only turning five, he is not an over-raced horse and we want to keep him going as long as possible. But by the same token it is a Grade 1 and we are not going to run away from it if we can go.”

If he does line up, Gavin Lerena will be first call – “I thought he rode a good race in the July and he settled the horse well but he may have other commitments.”

Sands, who sent out Jungle Warrior to win what was then known as the Champion Stakes at Greyville back in 1988, believes that Rainbow Bridge was adversely affected by the delay at the start in the July.

He is not claiming that his horse would have beaten Do It Again – “We were beaten fair and square but the second loading was a killer. He was sweating up before the first loading but he was bouncing and ready to go. I know that the reloading played against a lot of horses but Rainbow Bridge is not the type of horse to whom you can say ‘Come back and go in again.’”

There is also a Champions Cup question mark about 15-1 shot Head Honcho who was picked out along with Rainbow Bridge by commentator Craig Peters as sweating up badly at the delayed start.

Andre Nel said: “Head Honcho is not a highly strung horse but Keagan de Melo said the first time he was ready to go and the second time he was flat. We were all in the same boat so I am not making excuses and setting the horse alight 200m before turning for home was never part of the plan.”

Head Honcho, who was in the first two much of the way, dropped right out in the final furlong to finish with only four behind him casting doubts about whether he really got the trip. “He did win the Betting World 2200 the previous year but it is not his proper distance and it was a much weaker race,” Nel pointed out. “It seems as though he can gallop 1 800m almost flat out and then he tires.”

The Champions Cup trip would therefore seem ideal but Nel said: “We are debating whether to run. He was slightly jarred up after the July but nothing catastrophic. Possibly he could run but he is better in Cape Town and we might decide to wait for the Cape season.”

There has been relatively little movement in the Champions Cup market so far with the most noticeable being last year’s runner-up Undercover Agent (14-1 to 9-1) and second favourite Buffalo Bill Cody who has been cut from 3-1 to 22-10.

Lyle Hewitson, now almost unbackable to retain his championship – some bookmakers are quoting odds as short as 1-11 – gives Durbanville a miss tomorrow but Muzi Yeni is refusing to concede defeat and has taken five rides – two each for Joey Ramsden and Glen Kotzen and one for Glen Puller. However none of the quintet has a particularly obvious chance.

Run Fox Run, winner of all her four starts including most recently the Olympic Duel Stakes, is the highest rated of the 14 entries for the Champagne Stakes at Kenilworth on Saturday and is the only representative for Brett Crawford who won this 1 200m Grade 3 with Beach Goddess three years ago.

By Michael Clower

The price paid for a yearling at auction goes more to conformation and pedigree in the hope that it has some ability. As Dean Kannemeyer pointed out before his R4.5 million yearling buy, Seventh Gear, won the second at Hollywoodbets Scottsville yesterday, “there are plenty of million-rand duds around. I think that it’s a bit unfair to put pressure on the trainer just because the horse was bought for a lot of money.”

But Seventh Gear is no dud although he has some way to go before he recoups his purchase price on the track – but the signs are good. A magnificent physical specimen, the colt still looked a little underdone in the paddock but finished off his race smartly as he and the luckless High Voltage fought out the finish with the balance of the field in another race.

Seventh Gear is unlikely to be seen out again this term, Kannemeyer intimating that the colt would be put away and prepped for the Cape summer with the Gr1 Cape Guineas and Gr1 Cape Derby on the radar.

Tobie Spies is a wizard with juveniles and the money arrived in spades for the grey filly Snow Palace in the third and it was money on the mark.

Craig Zackey sat patiently in the pack until two furlongs out with the fuse burning. Once the flame hit the powder, Snow Palace sped clear to win as she liked.

Pace, or a lack of it, can upset even the best laid plans and Shane Humby was chewing on his hat as the field dawdled around the back stretch in the fourth setting up the race for a sprint home. Donovan Dillon was wise to the pace and sent favourite Winter Retreat about her business at the top of the straight, poaching a break on the opposition. It proved a timely move as Winter Retreat held on just long enough to hold the late challenge from Miss Jagger. “I was a bit worried as they crawled down the back straight. Filly is an out-and-out stayer and a sprint home did not suit her.”

Muzi Yeni is not going down without a fight in the national title race although his chances of catching log leader Lyle Hewitson look remote, Yeni 12 behind with a little over two weeks to the end of the season. Nathan Kotzen ensured that there was hanging around for his more fancied runner Paybackthemoney in the fifth as apprentice Gabriel Pieterse stretched the field from the jump on stable companion Kheelan Dynasty. Paybackthemoney returned the compliment with a comfortable win.

Kotzen and Dillon were back to collect the cheque in the sixth as Master Keys put in a storming run up the inside to get the better of Karatage and Bon Bon with favourite Perfect Air under pressure a long way out.

By Andrew Harrison