Kenilworth Saturday Tips and Race Previews
PUBLISHED: November 16, 2019
Kenilworth Saturday November 16 Tips and Race Previews by Warren Lenferna…
Kenilworth Saturday Tips and Race Previews by Warren Lenferna
Preview: TWO FOR TEA (11) won a barrier trial in KZN and then ran well on debut – she can improve to win. QUEEN OF QUIET (2) is knocking loudly at the door and should not be a maiden for too much longer. ON CAPTAIN’S SIDE (1) improved at long odds last time and should be able to place again. (Warren Lenferna 11-2-1)
Preview: TURN IT UP HARVEY (1) is racing well and looks ready to win. TILLIEANGUS (8) gets 1400m for the first time and the best draw – a lot more improvement can be expected from him. WATCH THIS TIGER (10) could lurk into the back end of the quartet and is worth including. (Warren Lenferna 1-8-10)
Preview: JOY MAISHA (1) nearly won last time but now looks ready to win – she rates the one they all have to beat. Her stable companion PROCLAIMER (10) improved at the second time of asking and is more than likely going to improve again – she is the exacta selection. SNOWDROPS (11) could help make the quartet pay if finishing in the first four and she can improve to do just that! (Warren Lenferna 1-11-10)
Preview: BELLINGHAM BAY (6) is holding his form so well and always tries his very best. He gets the services of Keagan De Melo today and they have been made the firm first choice. DRIVING MISS DAISY (1) ran an absolute cracker in a feature last time and based on that should be a huge runner in this. CONSTABLE (5) looks talented and should be right there and GENERAL FRANCO (2) at this point I don’t think he is a merit rated 99, never mind a 102 that he was earlier! (Warren Lenferna 6-1-5-2)
Preview: HONEY PIE (5) has run two very good races since winning her maiden and seems progressive. Her second career win looks to be near and it could very well be today. She has a lot in her favour. LUNAR TUNES (6) is another whom caught the eye first time out the maidens and could well be worth including and following. DYNASTIC LIGHT (1) won her maiden at only the second time of asking and could go on to bigger and better things – respect. (Warren Lenferna 5-6-1)
Preview: JACQUELINE (5) won her last start very impressively and has been brought to Cape Town for business! She is a lovely filly and can be followed – I feel that her seasonal debut will be a winning one! Her draw is tops too! SLEEPING SINGLE (4) has strong form and is the exacta choice and FORTUNE FLIES (1) should again be right there. (Warren Lenferna 5-4-1)
Preview: PARTERRE (2) is lightly raced and has done well thus far – his last run was encouraging and he rates the one they all have to peg back. JAY ROCK (1) is consistent but is drawn closer to Clifton beach than the inside rail at Kenilworth – despite the draw, he should still run a good race. BAYBERRY (6), COUNT JACK (7) and QUINTAY (9) all recently won their maidens and could be worth including and following. (Warren Lenferna 2-1-6)
Preview: VOMANDLA (1) has consistent form and comes into the race with strong each way claims. BINDI (9) ran very well last time and should go close in this – she looks useful and QUENN’S CLUB (10) won her maiden last time and could end up being absolutely anything – follow! (Warren Lenferna 1-9-10)
Turffontein Saturday Tips and Race Previews
PUBLISHED: November 16, 2019
Turffontein Saturday November 16 Tips and Race Previews by Andrew Harrison…
Turffontein Saturday Tips and Race Previews by Andrew Harrison
Preview: First juvenile race of the new season so any selection is just guessing on pedigree and trainer. The betting should be your best guide. DANCEINDAMOONLIGHT (3) comes from a stable that sends them out early. The Fortune stable has four in the race where ELUSIVE WOMAN (4) could be the quickest. MIRACLE FLIGHT (6) comes from a strong stable who also like to enjoy early success. (Andrew Harrison: 3-4-6).
Preview: First juvenile race of the new season so any selection is just guessing on pedigree and trainer. The betting should be your best guide. FIRE AND ICE (4) has a quick pedigree as does GARDEN PARTY (5). THE EIGHTH LORD (9) is bred to show early speed. (Andrew Harrison: 4-9-5).
Preview: The word was out a long time before her barrier trial at Scottsville that KAY TEE KERRY (14) was something special and she duly arrived on the bit. If she flattered to deceive, we will find out here. WILD ‘N GREY (20) had a proper race on debut in a work riders’ plate but should come on from that. SAMOA (1) is a lightly raced mare who has put in two promising efforts of late while MADAME PATRICE (5) has not missed a place in seven outings and will get it right at some stage. (Andrew Harrison: 14-20-1-5).
Preview: BATTLEOFTRAFALGAR (1) made his debut in the SA Nursery, out-run late by stable companion Frosted Gold who has since franked that form. He has been rested but at best should be hard to beat. There are a host of improvers in this line-up so while Battleoftrafalgar looks is the one to beat with the likes of HOT GOSSIP (17), DUCHESS OF WINDSOR (14) and ELEMENTARY (8) who put up a smart piece of work at Summerveld on Tuesday cannot be ignored. (Andrew Harrison: 1-17-14-8).
Preview: First leg of the International Jockey Challenge – good riders and not so good horses but the visitors could get off to a big start. AL BORAK (3) made good improvement after gelding and can go in again although drawn a little wide. WHAT A JOKER (10) has a smart draw which is a big help over this trip and is both course and distance suited. JACKMAN (11) shows good pace and with internationally experienced jockeys, if Rab Havlin is allowed to dictate, there could be trouble for the locals. (Andrew Harrison: 3-10-11).
Preview: STARLIGHT EMPRESS (6) is a dangerous front runner and is much better drawn than in her last two. KIRKCONNEL LASS (9) could be the best challenger for the local riders. She does not have the best of the draw but S’Manga Khumalo has been riding like a man possessed. SEVEN SEAS (5) showed up well in his handicap debut when taking on stronger. He is lightly raced and comes from a strong stable. PULM FIELD (11) is consistent but does not have the best of draws. (Andrew Harrison: 6-9-5-11).
Preview: Wide open. BOCKSCAR (3) has his third run after a lay-off and was doing his best work late last time out. The blinkers go on to an old soldier. BARON ROONEY (4) goes well from the front and from a good draw should get there for nothing. THE SANDS (6) has been up against stronger at recent outings and from a good draw should at least be competitive. ICE EATER, SPORTING MONARCH AND BRIGTNUMBERTEN could all feature. (Andrew Harrison: 3-4-6-5).
Preview: The final leg of the International Jockey Challenge is another puzzle but St John Gray looks to have a live contender for Haley Turner with AT HAND (7) in the right space after a lengthy break. De Kock’s runner HELLOFARIDE (11) obliged second time out and should be progressive in a modest field. CHEVRON (4) has not been far back since shedding his maiden and should be in the money. (Andrew Harrison: 7-11-4).
Preview: MAJOR RETURN (1) has his peak run after a lengthy break and is never far off the pace. PORT KEY (5) was well fancied to win at Hollywoodbets Greyville but ran into a good field and he can do better here. BEFORE NOON (4) is hardly ever out of the money and stays well. He must have a decent chance n this line-up. (Andrew Harrison: 1-5-4).
Dixon on a Silent Crusade
PUBLISHED: November 15, 2019
Mark Dixon holds three high cards for the Pinnacle Stakes that heads the programme where Silent Crusade can confirm that she is a contender…
From desperately dry to desperately wet within a week. The weather patterns in KZN are so changeable these days that a senior weather forecaster has admitted that even three-day forecasts can be dodgy.
Racing is scheduled for the turf at Hollywoodbets Greyville on Sunday but punters are advised to keep an eye on the weather as a switch to the poly track is a distinct possibility should any more rain add to the 119mm recorded over the past week.
The wet will also have affected training schedules but the Summerveld poly track will have been in high demand this past week.
Mark Dixon holds three high cards for the Pinnacle Stakes that heads the programme where Silent Crusade can confirm that she is a contender for South Africa’s Champions Season that starts in May next year.
Dixon has gone easy on the daughter of Crusade, as she has only her ninth start in two seasons, but she has kicked off the current term on the right note, although Keagan de Melo may disagree.
Parting company with Silent Crusade at Hollywoodbets Scottsville last month will still be fresh in De Melo’s mind. It was a fearful fall and a miracle that he escaped serious injury.
De Melo was back on board the filly at her next start where he rode a cracking finish on the favourite. Tracking the pace, Silent Crusade shifted into top gear 400m out but didn’t look at all comfortable as she hung out and seemingly not too keen to go on with her effort. But De Melo kept hard at her and she gamely held off a charging phalanx headed by Generous Lady and Exclusive Quantity.
That was only her second outing since a break and given the weights and some further improvement she does rate the horse to beat.
Generous Lady will be in opposition again and she followed up that outing with a close-up seventh in a tough handicap against males, beaten under two lengths by GG’s Dynasty.
However, she is 0.5kg worse off with Silent Crusade and although she has the better draw, she does look held.
Michael Roberts, who shares a ring at Summerveld with Dixon, will know exactly what he is up against as he saddles Statute, the fill sister to Vodacom Durban July winner Legislate. The daughter of Dynasty is in good form of late and with a light weight should be competitive. The Dixon-trained She’s A Dream got it all together with a tongue-tie last start. She has ability and also has a light weight. Apprentice Ashton Arries comes out of his time shortly and a win will boost his confidence before he faces the reality of free-lance riding.
Anton Marcus is back in the hunt for the best rides after a lengthy spell on the sidelines and he was quickly on the phone to Duncan Howells for the ride on High Voltage in the first.
At first glance the form may looks a little patchy but if one takes into account that he has some useful feature company form and is still a maiden, Marcus appears to have picked another plum even though Howells is of the opinion that the 1000m may be a touch on the short side.
By Andrew Harrison
Domeyer to get his just rewards
PUBLISHED: November 15, 2019
The next three of Domeyer’s rides are for his old boss Candice Bass-Robinson whose horses are taking time to hit their usual form this season…
Aldo Domeyer has a real chance of starting what should be a rewarding day with victory in the first three races at Kenilworth tomorrow.
He starts off with Academic Gold for Andre Nel whose horses are in tremendous form and whose Cape Town strike rate of 15.9% is bettered only by Brett Crawford and Dennis Drier.
The filly has already been backed from 3-1 to 19-10 favourite and she was unlucky not to win last time. She was beaten only a fifth of a length after becoming unbalanced when she and American Prayer bumped 100m out.
American Prayer finished 2.3 lengths farther back and it was her first run so she might well have come on enough to reverse the placings. She rates the main danger and is a big price at 7-1, particularly with Bernard Fayd’Herbe in the irons.
On Captain’s Side (13-2) is the highest-rated of the four that have been given a mark but Queen Of Quiet (28-10) has been knocking at the door and represents the blistering form of the Justin Snaith-Richard Fourie combination. Also worth noting is the Drier-trained 6-1 shot Two For Tea who finished first in a barrier trial at Scottsville and started odds-on when fourth on debut there. Newcomer Sing Out Loud does not seem particularly fancied at 17-2 and, being by Dynasty, she might need a bit further.
The next three of Domeyer’s rides are for his old boss Candice Bass-Robinson whose horses are taking time to hit their usual form this season but the stable has averaged almost a winner a meeting over the last six and many of the runners are beginning to have a should-win-next-time look about them.
That certainly applies to Turn It Up Harvey in the A Whole New World Maiden. This gelding has been second in his last two and is rated ten points clear of the three other rated runners. Unfortunately some punters have already had a bite at this particular cherry and he has gone from evens to 13-20. Tillieangus (4-1) would need to have improved and the Nel-trained 11-2 newcomer Warrior Bling rates the danger.
Domeyer’s mount Joy Maisha is 17-10 favourite for the Ain’t Misbehaving Maiden (how refreshing to see a new approach with the race names) and her last run was better than the bare form might suggest because she was tightened for galloping room shortly after leaving the pens. According to the handicappers, who have taken the interference into account, the Argentinian-bred filly is no better than Snaith’s Whisky Tango and only half a kilo superior to her own stable companion Reef Knot. But Domeyer may make the difference.
Our old pal General Franco goes in the next after being dropped three points for that lacklustre effort in the Cape Classic. Some punters are still waiting for him to go off in front but here he looks too short at 4-1 and is best watched.
By Michael Clower
Al Borak to get internationals started
PUBLISHED: November 15, 2019
Gelding appears to have been the key to Mike and Adam Azzie’s Al Borak who made good improvement first up after the unkindest cut of all…
The World Sports Betting International Jockey Challenge, supported by Sun International and Air Mauritius, takes centre stage at Turffontein this weekend. The big names such as Dettori and Moore may be missing but the international team is made up of some tremendous riders who have proven themselves in the international arena.
Brazilian-born João Moreira was a relatively unknown when still riding in Singapore and part of the visiting International Team of that year, but rode tremendous races on some decidedly moderate horses to help the internationals to their first win. Any anyone who took notice will have made a bundle on Moreira in his first season in Hong Kong.
Given that the four challenge races are lowly handicaps, punters should be wary of the likely outcomes, but the riders will be giving it their all and with the internationals having nothing to go on besides the formbook and trainer’s instructions, their professionalism will be to the fore. There is the old maxim, of “good jockeys don’t need instructions and bad jockeys don’t listen anyway,” so we are in for a great afternoon’s entertainment.
The first leg of the International Jockey Challenge – good riders and not so good horses – could see the visitors off to a big start. Gelding appears to have been the key to Mike and Adam Azzie’s Al Borak who made good improvement first up after the unkindest cut of all. Although drawn wide, Haley Turner can get the internationals off to a flying start along with Fran Norton on What A Joker and International captain Rab Havlin on Jackman.
In the next leg, Starlight Express is a dangerous front runner and is much better drawn than in her last two and seasoned international Martin Dwyer rides for Geoff Woodruff. Local riders could come to the fore with Kirkconnels Lass. She does not have the best of the draw but S’Manga Khumalo has been riding like a man possessed of late. Seven Seas, with South African captain Muzi Yeni aboard, showed up well in his handicap debut when taking on stronger. He is lightly raced from a strong from a strong stable.
The third leg is a wide-open handicap. Bockscar is not the easiest ride but is having his third run after a lay-off and was doing his best work late last time out. The blinkers go on to an old soldier and Gavin Lerena can record the first win for the SA team. Biggest threat could come from the Fran Norton ridden Barron Rooney although this is a seriously difficult handicap to sort.
The final leg of the International Jockey Challenge is another puzzle but St John Gray looks to have a live contender for Haley Turner who is no stranger to the Turffontein winner’s circle. At Hand is in the right space, three runs after a lengthy break, and can get the better of the De Kock’s runner Hellofaride that obliged second time out. He should be progressive in a modest field but it is never easy first time out of the maidens.
The first two juvenile races of the current season make up the first two races on the card where the betting could prove your best guide, while the R1 million Monaco Sprint for maidens kick’s off the Pick 6 but wily trainer Mike de Kock appears to have saved a plum for the winner’s cheque and Battleoftrafalgar looks the ‘right one’.
By Andrew Harrison