Punters face a testing card at Hollywoodbets Greyville today. It’s one of those cards where it is all favourites or a few bombers – the trick is to find the bombers which is not always easy.
The early betting suggests that the opening leg of the PA should rest between Kildonan Bay and Alfonse Baby.
Kildonan Bay has shown up well in both starts to date and put in a smart effort on debut over course and distance. The blinkers go on and Doug Campbell’s homebred should be good enough to at least see you safely through the first leg of the exotic bet. Alfonse Baby will be a threat after making good improvement second time out over course and distance and is likely to come on a little more with the experience.
The first leg of the Pick 6 is a Qualified Maiden where Seen The Light looks the part. Shane Humby’s charge has only had three outings, two close-up leading into this race, and he should prove difficult to beat.
The first leg of the jackpot looks a little more competitive but Down To Earth has improved with every outing and was narrowly beaten over course and distance last time out. A repeat should see her close again. Queen Of Beauty was a well-beaten second at just her second start but should make further improvement and will be a contender. Of the balance, Blush Of Dawn is seldom too far back and jumps from the best draw and it is good to see Ant Mgudlwa back in the saddle after his fall at Scottsville. Silver Wisp has only had one start and was not too far back. She should come on lengths from that effort and can surprise.
Noble Joshua bids for a fourth straight win in the fifth, a rare achievement in this day of merit rated handicaps. He took a 2kg penalty for his last win which could leave the way clear for Sea Dance who showed consistent form for Paul Peter and made a smart debut for his new yard. He is in receipt of 5.5kg from Noble Joshua and looks the pick of the pair.
Gary Rich has a small string but his horses are firing of late and Connect Me looks set for the sixth win of her career. She ran a smart race over a mile last time out and goes this trip for the first time. If she stays, she will be right there. Judging by the riding arrangements, Oratorina is the ‘right’ one of Gavin Van Zyl’s runners with Warren Kennedy aboard. However, she has not been out since April which is a bit of a concern whereas Sea Venture has had two warm-ups leading into this event and looks the pick of the pair. Dennis Drier sends out Escape Club who has taken time to come to hand following a lengthy lay-off. She is back over her best course and distance and the blinkers have been exchanged for a tongue-tie which could prove a key to an improved performance.
Joseph Jagger has made steady improvement since gelding and blinkers and although he takes to the poly for the first time, he could prove difficult to peg back in the seventh. Whateverittakes made good improvement at his second start and also makes his poly debut. But the trip will suit and he should show further improvement. Just Dixit is the highest rated runner but disappointed at his last two and flattered to deceive before that. Leave him out at your peril.
Finally, Agent Murphy has his third run after a break and from a good draw looks well set for the eighth. Danger could come in the form of Captain Cobalt who was never in the hunt from a wide draw last outing but was close-up at his previous start. He has a bright chance in a tricky race. Juniper Lane and At The Opera are others to consider.
By Andrew Harrison