The Pick 6 is always an attractive bet on the big race days and a big pool is expected again tomorrow.
In the first leg Frosted Gold stayed on courageously from an unfavourable draw over 1000m in the Storm Bird Stakes to share. He has a 5kg penalty in total for two wins but now has a plum Standside draw and will appreciate the extra 100m. The horse he shared with, Twilight Moon, had a favourable draw of nine out of ten in the Storm Bird and is now drawn five so can be excluded. Cavivar disappointed last time but now wears a tongue tie and jumps from a favourable draw of eight. She is 2kg better off with Frosted Gold for a 1,80 length beating and is the other one to include.
In the Grade 3 Man O’ War Sprint over 1100m the Grade 1 Allan Robertson winner Mighty High has trained on as a three-year-old and her draw of seven over this suitable trip is manageable. She is 1kg well in with Chimichuri Run according to official merit ratings. Chimichuri Run has to carry topweight but off his 112 merit rating is 3,5kg better off than any of the male runners. However, he might be better down the straight and he also has an unfavourable low draw of three, so others have to be considered. The filly All At Once is officially 2,5kg under sufferance with Mighty High. She beat Mighty High by a short-head last time over 1160m but is now 4kg worse off. However, she has beaten Mighty High twice and is relatively unexposed, so can be included from a plum Standside draw. Russian Prince is second best in of the male runners. He has speed and class and scope for plenty of improvement so from a nice high draw of eleven can be included. If Russian Prince is included then Topmast and Old Man Thyme have to be considered too on formlines. However, only Topmast need be included of the pair due to their respective draws.
The next race is the Grade 1 HF Oppenheimer Horse Chestnut Stakes and three horses can be included, the Cape Guineas winner Soqrat, pole position drawn Cascapedia, who has come into her own, and Legal Eagle, who is better than his flat run in the L’Ormarin’s Queen’s Plate.
The Grade 1 Wilgerbosdrift SA Oaks is next and the favourite Blossom must be included in her attempt to emulate her mother Cherry On The Top. However, this is a more open race than the merit ratings suggest and all of Return Flight, Bize, Second Request, Fariha, Seville Orange and Chitengo can be included over a trip unknown to any of the nine contestants.
Hawwaam has been priced up at 1/6 for the SA Derby. He settled well in the SA Classic after his bit had been tailored to suit him and if doing the same here is impossible to oppose. However, he is drawn 15 of 15 and in case he does over race then all of Zillzaal, Gift For The Gap, Marchingontogether and Last Of The Legend can be included as horses who have either caught the eye or who will relish the trip.
At this stage the perm is costing R1050 already if all the suggested horses have been included and there’s a tough stayers race to come.
Topweight Noble Secret looks to have the assets of a top class stayer, Wonderous Climber is progressive, and the pole position-drawn Sunshine Silk is distance proven and coming into her own, so they are the suggestions to get players through this last leg. However, it does have the potential for an upset so some would prefer to thin out the earlier legs and load up here.
By David Thiselton